HURRICANE DENNIS 7-10-05

 

Dennis
Crestview FL
7-10-05

Dennis
Apalachicola FL
7-10-05


Dennis
Pensacola FL 7-10-05

Dennis
Diberville MS 7-10-05

Dennis
3pm CST 7-10-05


Dennis
9am CST 7-10-05

Dennis
3am 7-10-05

Dennis
3am CST 7-10-05

Dennis
5pm 7-9-05

Dennis

4pm 7-9-05

Dennis
11am CST 7-9-05


Dennis
10am CST 7-9-05

Dennis
7am CST 7-9-05


Dennis
640am CST 7-9-05

Dennis

4am CST 7-9-05


Dennis

4am CST 7-9-05


Dennis
10pm 7-8-05

Dennis
Strike Prob
10pm CST 7-8-05

Dennis
10pm CST 7-8-05
 

Dennis
10pm CST 7-8-05
 

Dennis
4pm CST 7-8-05

Dennis
2pm CST 7-8-05

Dennis
Noon CST 7-8-05


Dennis
10am CST 7-8-05

Dennis
10am CST 7-8-05


Dennis
8am 7-8-05

Dennis
4am CST 7-8-05

Dennis computer models
Strike Prob
7-7-05

Dennis
Strike prob & strength
2am 7-8-05

Dennis
Water Vapor Sat
2am 7-8-05

Dennis Strike Prob
10pm CST 7-7-05

Dennis
10pm
 


Dennis
4pm 7-7-05


Dennis Strike Prob
10am CST 7-7-05

Hurricane Dennis
10am CST 7-7-05

Dennis Satalite
9am CST 7-7-05

TS Dennis
10am CST
7-6-05

TS Dennis
4am EDT
7-6-05

TS Dennis
5pm CST
7-5-05

TS Dennis
5am CST
7-5-05

 

 

TROPICAL STORM DENNIS ADVISORY NUMBER  27...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005


CORRECTED INITIAL INTENSITY FROM 65 MPH TO 50 MPH

...DENNIS CONTINUES TO WEAKEN OVER SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA...
...STILL A HEAVY RAINFALL AND TORNADO THREAT...
 
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...ALL COASTAL TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS HAVE
BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DENNIS WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.3 NORTH... LONGITUDE 87.8 WEST...OR IN
CENTRAL MARENGO COUNTY ABOUT 25 MILES SOUTHEAST OF DEMOPOLIS
ALABAMA.
 
DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  50 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS
IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON MONDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  70 MILES FROM THE
CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  980 MB...28.94 INCHES.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING ALONG THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND ALABAMA COASTS
WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE TONIGHT AND MONDAY.
 
TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG
AND NEAR THE TRACK OF DENNIS ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES INTO
THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. ISOLATED MAXIMUM
RAINFALL AMOUNTS NEAR 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH
DENNIS.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT...AND ESPECIALLY DURING THE
DAY MONDAY...OVER CENTRAL AND NORTHERN ALABAMA...CENTRAL AND
NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI...AND THE WESTERN TENNESSEE VALLEY.
 
REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...32.3 N... 87.8 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 50 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 980 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 4 AM CDT.
 
FORECASTER STEWART

 

HURRICANE DENNIS ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005

 
...DENNIS MAKES LANDFALL NEAR PENSACOLA AS A CATEGORY THREE
HURRICANE...

AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA HAS BEEN ADJUSTED
AND NOW EXTENDS FROM THE ALABAMA/MISSISSIPPI BORDER TO DESTIN
FLORIDA.
 
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS HAVE ALSO BEEN ADJUSTED...AND NOW EXTEND
FROM THE PEARL RIVER TO THE ALABAMA/MISSISSIPPI BORDER AND FROM
EAST OF DESTIN TO LONGBOAT KEY FLORIDA.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED
INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 30.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE 87.2 WEST OR ABOUT 20
MILES NORTH OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA.
 
DENNIS IS MOVING JUST WEST OF DUE NORTH NEAR 21 MPH.  A GENERAL
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK WITH SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS
IS NOW A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. DENNIS
IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM OVERNIGHT.

A FLORIDA COASTAL MONITORING PROGRAM TOWER...ON THE COAST NEAR
NAVARRE BEACH FLORIDA...REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 99 MPH...WITH
GUSTS TO 121 MPH...NEAR THE TIME OF LANDFALL.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  25 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 230 MILES...MAINLY TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  950 MB...28.05 INCHES.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 15 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS LIKELY
STILL OCCURRING NEAR AND JUST TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF
DENNIS MADE LANDFALL. A STORM SURGE OF 4 TO 6 FEET IS LIKELY STILL
OCCURRING ELSEWHERE TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES ALONG AND NEAR THE TRACK ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES INTO
THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. ISOLATED MAXIMUM
RAINFALL AMOUNTS NEAR 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH
DENNIS.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN ALABAMA...CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN GEORGIA...AND NORTH CENTRAL
AND NORTHWESTERN FLORIDA.

REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...30.8 N... 87.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 21 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...105 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 950 MB.
 
INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 6 PM CDT AND 8 PM CDT FOLLOWED
BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 PM CDT.
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 

HURRICANE DENNIS ADVISORY NUMBER  25...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005


...CORRECTED TO ADD STATEMENT ABOUT INLAND PENETRATION OF HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS IN PARAGRAPH NINE...
 
...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS DENNIS MOVING A LITTLE FASTER TOWARD THE
COASTLINE...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTHEASTERN COAST
OF THE GULF OF MEXICO FROM THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER WESTWARD TO THE
MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER.
 
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED
WEST OF GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA...AND SOUTH OF LONGBOAT KEY FLORIDA. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF THE PEARL
RIVER TO GRAND ISLE...INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND FROM EAST OF THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO
LONGBOAT KEY FLORIDA.
 
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD ALREADY HAVE BEEN
COMPLETED.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 29.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.7 WEST OR ABOUT 125 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF MOBILE ALABAMA AND ABOUT 80 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF
PENSACOLA FLORIDA.
 
DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL THIS
AFTERNOON.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 140 MPH...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME SLIGHT ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE PRIOR TO
LANDFALL...HOWEVER...DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST NEAR THE
CATEGORY THREE/FOUR THRESHOLD ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  40 MILES...FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 230 MILES.  HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH DENNIS MAY
OCCUR AS FAR AS 150 TO 175 MILES INLAND ALONG THE TRACK OF THE
HURRICANE.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT WAS 930 MB...27.46 INCHES.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 15 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS POSSIBLE
NEAR AND JUST TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF DENNIS CROSSES THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST LATER TODAY.  A STORM SURGE OF 4 TO 6 FEET IS
LIKELY ELSEWHERE IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA TO THE EAST OF THE
CENTER.
 
DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO
10 INCHES OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...ALABAMA...EASTERN
MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA. ISOLATED MAXIMUM RAINFALL
AMOUNTS TO NEAR 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE NEAR WHERE DENNIS MAKES
LANDFALL.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER THE WEST-CENTRAL FLORIDA
PENINSULA...FLORIDA PANHANDLE...WESTERN GEORGIA AND CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN ALABAMA.
 
REPEATING THE 10 AM CDT POSITION...29.4 N... 86.7 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...140 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 930 MB.
 
INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT NOON CDT AND 2 PM CDT FOLLOWED
BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 PM CDT.
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN

 

Please refer to the RSS feed from the national hurricane center or your local weather for the latest updates
as GCIS is in the storm path and may lose ability to update.

 

 

HURRICANE DENNIS ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005


...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE DENNIS HEADED FOR THE NORTHERN GULF
OF MEXICO COAST...


A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE
NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST FROM THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER WESTWARD TO THE
MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER.
 
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EXTENDED
WESTWARD ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TO EAST OF MORGAN CITY
LOUISIANA...AND THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA
KEYS IS CANCELLED.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT WEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL
RIVER TO EAST OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA...INCLUDING METROPOLITAN
NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONCHARTRAIN.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN
EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST OF THE STEINHATCHEE
RIVER SOUTHWARD TO BONITA BEACH.
 
A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 27.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE 86.1 WEST OR ABOUT 170 MILES
SOUTH OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA AND ABOUT 245 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
BILOXI MISSISSIPPI.

DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY.  ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF
THE HURRICANE WILL CROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST LATER
TODAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 145 MPH...230 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  DENNIS IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE.  SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY PRIOR TO LANDFALL.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  40 MILES... 65 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 230 MILES...370 KM.

AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE OF 932 MB...27.52 INCHES.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 14 TO 19 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS POSSIBLE
NEAR AND JUST TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF DENNIS CROSSES THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST LATER TODAY.  A STORM SURGE OF 4 TO 6 FEET IS
LIKELY ELSWHERE IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA TO THE EAST OF THE
CENTER.

DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO
10 INCHES FROM THE CENTRAL FLORIDA PANHANDLE INTO SOUTHERN ALABAMA
AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI.  ISOLATED MAXIMUM RAINFALL AMOUNTS TO NEAR
15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE NEAR WHERE DENNIS MAKES LANDFALL ON THE GULF
COAST. 

ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE...SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA.
 
REPEATING THE 4 AM CDT POSITION...27.8 N... 86.1 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...145 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 932 MB.
 
INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 6 AM CDT AND 8 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE
ADVISORY AT 10 AM CDT.
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 

 

DENNIS HAS STRENGTHENED RAPIDLY DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 115 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
THIS MAKES DENNIS A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE.  ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED...AND DENNIS COULD
BECOME A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE BEFORE LANDFALL ON THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST. 
NHC 7-9-05

 

HURRICANE DENNIS SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
7 PM EDT SAT JUL 09 2005


...DENNIS STRENGTHENS RAPIDLY TO DANGEROUS CATEGOTY 3 MAJOR
HURRICANE...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE
NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST FROM THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER FLORIDA WESTWARD
TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER AT THE LOUISIANA-MISSISSIPPI
BORDER.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST
COAST FROM EAST OF THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER SOUTHWARD TO FLAMINGO...
AND FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS WEST OF SEVEN MILE BRIDGE. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN
LOUISIANA COAST WEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO GRAND
ISLE...INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONCHARTRAIN.
 
A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 7 PM EDT...2300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 26.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  84.9 WEST OR ABOUT  285 MILES
SOUTH OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA AND ABOUT  385 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
BILOXI MISSISSIPPI.
 
DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH AND A GRADUAL TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT OR SUNDAY.  THIS
MOTION COULD BRING THE CENTER OF DENNIS NEAR THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST ON SUNDAY.
 
REPORTS FROM AIR FORCE AND NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT DENNIS HAS STRENGTHENED RAPIDLY DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 115 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
THIS MAKES DENNIS A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE.  ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED...AND DENNIS COULD
BECOME A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE BEFORE LANDFALL ON THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  40 MILES...FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 175 MILES.
 
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS  947 MB...27.96 INCHES.  ANOTHER
AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY ENROUTE TO INVESTIGATE DENNIS.
 
DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO
8 INCHES ACROSS THE FLORIDA KEYS...THE FLORIDA WEST COAST...THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE...SOUTHERN ALABAMA...AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI.
ISOLATED TOTALS NEAR 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE NEAR WHERE DENNIS MAKES
LANDFALL ALONG THE GULF COAST. ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3
TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL CUBA...WHICH COULD PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.
 
STORM SURGE WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE ALONG THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS
TONIGHT. A STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE
SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF FLORIDA TONIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING. A STORM
SURGE OF 12 TO 14 FEET...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS
BATTERING WAVES...IS POSSIBLE NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE
THE CENTER OF DENNIS CROSSES THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST ON SUNDAY.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY...AND ACROSS THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY.
 
REPEATING THE 7 PM EDT POSITION...26.1 N... 84.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...115 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 947 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 9 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM
EDT.
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 

 

WLOX TV 13 NEWS MID DAY 7-9-05

 

Coastal residents from the Florida Keys to Louisiana packed up and evacuated or hunkered down early Saturday as Hurricane Dennis churned along a path that could at least sideswipe areas still rebuilding from last year's storms.

Key West residents who didn't heed an evacuation order covered their windows with plywood and attended the island's famous hurricane parties.

Landfall was expected Sunday or Monday anywhere from the Florida Panhandle to southeast Louisiana.

Mississippi is on full alert today and emergency officials are considering when to order thousands to evacuate the state's coast as powerful Hurricane Dennis sets its sights on the northern Gulf of Mexico.

The governor has declared a state of emergency. Jackson County officials have issued a mandatory evacuation order for all people who live in low-lying areas, mobile homes, campgrounds and beachfronts.

Forecasters warned coastal residents from Florida to Louisiana to be ready for Dennis to come ashore by Sunday.

"When this kind of weather happens, its a chance for locals to see who's going to tough it out with them,'' said David Noessle, who watched surfers in the hurricane-spawned waves on his way home from a party.

The storm, the earliest to reach Category 4 strength in the Caribbean on record, was expected to bring up to 8 inches of rain and 6-foot storm surges Saturday. It was blamed for at least 10 deaths in Cuba and 10 in Haiti.

In Key West, police said four women had to be rescued after a tree fell and trapped them in a house; no injuries were reported.

About a half-million people in coastal Alabama and tens of thousands more in the Keys and low-lying areas of the Florida Gulf Coast were told to evacuate. Alabama officials were turning Interstate 65 into a one-way route north from the coast to Montgomery.

"All day long all of our phones have been ringing. The only thing we can tell people is that we are sold out,'' said Lasonya Lewis, a clerk at a Montgomery hotel.

Normally busy shops in Key West were boarded up and one liquor store had a sign that read: "Dennis Don't Be a Menace.''

Still, a few places were open to feed the holdouts.

"We've never been in a hurricane before, or even near one,'' said David Keeley of Peterborough, England, who drank at Sloppy Joe's bar and made plans to go back to his hotel with his wife, "lock the door, pull the blinds and hope for the best.''

"If the power stays on, we've got the TV. We've got the minibar. We've got each other,'' he said.

Myra Gamblin, whose home in Pace, Fla., was heavily damaged by Hurricane Ivan last September, said the storms were wearing on her nerves.

"We finally got everything repaired in January and here we go again in July,'' she said.

At 10am, the center of Hurricane Dennis was located near latitude 24.7 north, longitude 83.8 west or about 480 miles southeast of Pascagoula. Dennis is moving toward the northwest near 14 mph. Maximum sustained winds are near 100 mph.

 Many in Dennis' strike zone were aware that it was following nearly in the path of Ivan, which came ashore at the Florida-Alabama line, causing 29 deaths and $4 billion damage in the Panhandle alone.

Mitch Lamb had lived in a government-issued travel trailer while his home was being repaired and only recently moved back. About 9,300 other trailers were still in use by Floridians whose homes were damaged or destroyed by the hurricanes.

As he packed up his belongings Friday, Lamb was ready to give up on his Gulf Breeze home after spending $70,000 out of his own pocket on repairs.

"I hope this house is gone when I get back because I do not want to go through it again,'' he said. "We'll just sell the waterfront property and take the loss."

 


BULLETIN
HURRICANE DENNIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  20A...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1 PM EDT SAT JUL 09 2005

 
CORRECTED FOR MOTION

...DENNIS GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD OVER
THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS
FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS. A HURRICANE
WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEASTERN GULF
COAST FROM THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER WESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE
PEARL RIVER.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST
COAST FROM EAST OF THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER SOUTHWARD...AND ALONG THE
SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST FROM GOLDEN BEACH SOUTHWARD...INCLUDING THE
FLORIDA KEYS FROM SEVEN MILE BRIDGE EASTWARD. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA COAST WEST
OF THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO GRAND ISLE...INCLUDING
METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.
 
A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 1 PM EDT...1700Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 25.0 NORTH... LONGITUDE 84.0 WEST. THIS IS ABOUT
355 MILES... SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA AND ABOUT
460 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI.
 
DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH A GRADUAL TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST TONIGHT AND SUNDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
DENNIS IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
SOME GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  35 MILES... 55 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 175 MILES...280 KM.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  965 MB...28.50 INCHES.
 
DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO
8 INCHES ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA...THE
FLORIDA KEYS...THE FLORIDA WEST COAST...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...
SOUTHERN ALABAMA...AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI.  ADDITIONAL RAIN
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL CUBA...
WHICH COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.
 
STORM SURGE WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE ALONG THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS
TODAY AND TONIGHT. A STORM SURGE OF 3 TO 5 FEET IS POSSIBLE ALONG
THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF FLORIDA TODAY AND TONIGHT. A STORM SURGE OF
8 TO 10 FEET IS POSSIBLE ALONG AND TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE THE CENTER
OF DENNIS CROSSES THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST ON SUNDAY.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY...AND ACROSS THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY.
 
REPEATING THE 1 PM EDT POSITION...25.0 N... 84.0 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...100 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 965 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 

 

HURRICANE DENNIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  19A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
7 AM EDT SAT JUL 09 2005

 
...DENNIS RESTRENGTHENING...BACK TO CATEGORY TWO...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEASTERN
GULF COAST FROM THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER WESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE
PEARL RIVER.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS
FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE REMAINDER
OF THE FLORIDA KEYS...EAST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF
AND FLORIDA BAY.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF
LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...MATANZAS...VILLA CLARA...AND
CIENFUEGOS.  A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLE OF
YOUTH AND THE PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO. WARNINGS AND WATCHES FOR
CUBA WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER THIS MORNING.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST
FROM THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER SOUTHWARD...AND ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST
COAST FROM GOLDEN BEACH SOUTHWARD.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA
COAST WEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER TO GRAND ISLE...
INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONCHARTRAIN.
 
A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA.  A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN FLORIDA...AND THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DENNIS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 7 AM EDT...1100Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  83.2 WEST OR ABOUT 95 MILES
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.
 
DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A NOAA RECONNAISSANCE PLANE INDICATES THAT WINDS ARE BEGINNING TO
INCREASE AGAIN AND HAVE REACHED 105 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS
IS NOW A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.  SOME
RE-STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  65 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 175 MILES. KEY WEST HAS EXPERIENCED A GUST TO 74 MPH...HURRICANE
FORCE. SOMBRERO KEY...AN ELEVATED PLATFORM NEAR MARATHON
FLORIDA...REPORTED SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS OF 74 MPH WITH A
GUST TO 88 MPH.    
 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT WAS 969 MB...28.61 INCHES.
 
DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA...AND THE
FLORIDA KEYS.  ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED ACROSS CENTRAL CUBA.  THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.
 
A STORM SURGE OF 3 TO 6 FEET IS POSSIBLE IN THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS.
A STORM SURGE OF 4 TO 7 FEET IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHWEST COAST
OF FLORIDA TODAY.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.
 
REPEATING THE 7 AM EDT POSITION...24.1 N... 83.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...969 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 9 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM
EDT.
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 

HURRICANE DENNIS ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SAT JUL 09 2005

 
...A WEAKER DENNIS BACK OVER WATER...NO SIGNS OF STRENGTHENING
YET...

AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST FROM THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER
WESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS
FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE REMAINDER
OF THE FLORIDA KEYS...EAST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF
AND FLORIDA BAY.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF
LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...MATANZAS...VILLA CLARA...AND
CIENFUEGOS. AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR CUBA
HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR ALL PROVINCES FROM SANCTI SPIRITUS
EASTWARD.  A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLE OF
YOUTH AND THE PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO.
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE
FLORIDA WEST COAST HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO EAST OF THE
STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT
ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST OF THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER
SOUTHWARD...AND ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM GOLDEN BEACH
SOUTHWARD.
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED
FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA COAST WEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL
RIVER TO GRAND ISLE...INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE
PONCHARTRAIN.
 
A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA.  A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN FLORIDA...AND THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DENNIS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  82.9 WEST OR ABOUT 85 MILES... 135
KM...SOUTHWEST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA AND ABOUT  525 MILES... 845
KM...SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.
 
DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH ...22 KM/HR...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 90 MPH...150
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.  SOME RE-STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  65 MILES...100 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 175 MILES...280 KM.
 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT WAS 972 MB...28.70 INCHES.

DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA...AND THE
FLORIDA KEYS.  ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED ACROSS CENTRAL CUBA.  THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.
 
A STORM SURGE OF 3 TO 6 FEET IS POSSIBLE IN THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS.
A STORM SURGE OF 4 TO 7 FEET IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHWEST COAST
OF FLORIDA TODAY.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.
 
REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...23.9 N... 82.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 90 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 972 MB.
 
INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 7 AM EDT AND 9 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE
ADVISORY AT 11 AM EDT.
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 

DENNIS TAKES CUBA, DOWN TO A 2, EXPECTED TO REGAIN STRENGTH
AS ALL GULF COAST RESIDENTS PREPARE FOR DENNIS 7-8-05

HURRICANE DENNIS ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT FRI JUL 08 2005


...DENNIS WEAKENS TO A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES HAVANA
AND THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF LA
HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...MATANZAS...VILLA CLARA...
CIENFUEGOS...SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS
TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...HOLGUIN AND GUANTANAMO.  A
HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH AND THE
PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO.  EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA MAY
BE CANCELLED SATURDAY MORNING.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE
SEVEN MILE BRIDGE WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE REMAINDER OF
THE FLORIDA KEYS...EAST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF AND
FLORIDA BAY.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEASTERN
GULF COAST FROM THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER WESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE
PEARL RIVER.  HURRICANE WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR
PORTIONS OF THIS AREA SATURDAY MORNING.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST
COAST FROM ANCLOTE KEY SOUTHWARD...AND ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST
FROM GOLDEN BEACH SOUTHWARD.
 
AT 10 PM CDT...0300 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
THE SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA COAST WEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL
RIVER TO GRAND ISLE...INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE
PONCHARTRAIN.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST
COAST FROM NORTH OF ANCLOTE KEY NORTHWARD TO EAST OF THE
STEINHATCHEE RIVER.
 
A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA.  A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...THE EASTERN
GULF OF MEXICO...AND FLORIDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DENNIS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 23.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  82.1 WEST OR ABOUT   20
MILES...  30 KM...EAST OF HAVANA CUBA AND ABOUT  110 MILES... 180
KM...SOUTH OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.
 
DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR... AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF DENNIS NEAR HAVANA AND INTO
THE STRIATS OF FLORIDA DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS...THEN NEAR THE
DRY TORTUGAS ON SATURDAY MORNING.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 110 MPH...175
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  DENNIS IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.  HOWEVER...IT IS EXPECTED TO RE-INTENSIFY
INTO A MAJOR HURRICANE UPON REACHING THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  65 MILES...100 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 175 MILES...280 KM.  KEY WEST FLORIDA RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED
WINDS OF 44 MPH WITH A GUST TO 54 MPH.  TROPICAL-STORM FORCE WIND
GUSTS ARE ALSO OCCURRING IN SQUALLS AS FAR NORTH AS THE MIAMI AREA.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  962 MB...28.41 INCHES.

DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA...AND THE
FLORIDA KEYS.  ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED OVER CUBA AND CAYMAN ISLANDS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM
TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE.  THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 5 TO 10 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...ARE STILL POSSIBLE
IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS ALONG THE SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF CUBA.
HIGHER VALUES OF STORM WILL BE POSSIBLE IN BAYS AND INLETS.  A
STORM SURGE OF 3 TO 6 FEET IS POSSIBLE IN THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS. A
STORM SURGE OF 4 TO 7 FEET IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF
FLORIDA TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.

ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.
 
REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...23.0 N... 82.1 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...110 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 962 MB.
 
INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 AM EDT AND 3 AM EDT FOLLOWED
BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM EDT.
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 

 

 

HURRICANE DENNIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  17B
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
9 PM EDT FRI JUL 08 2005

 
...DANGEROUS MAJOR HURRICANE DENNIS APPROACHING HAVANA AND MATANZAS
IN WESTERN CUBA...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF LA
HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...MATANZAS...VILLA CLARA...
CIENFUEGOS...SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS
TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...HOLGUIN AND GUANTANAMO.  A
HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH AND THE
PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO. EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TONIGHT.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS
FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA KEYS...EAST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO
OCEAN REEF AND FLORIDA BAY.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEASTERN
GULF COAST FROM THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER WESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE
PEARL RIVER.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST
FROM ANCLOTE KEY SOUTHWARD...AND ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM
GOLDEN BEACH SOUTHWARD.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST
FROM NORTH OF ANCLOTE KEY NORTHWARD TO EAST OF THE STEINHATCHEE
RIVER.
 
A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA.  A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...FLORIDA...AND THE
EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 9 PM EDT...0100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 22.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE 81.7 WEST OR ABOUT 45 MILES
... 75 KM... EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HAVANA CUBA AND ABOUT 120 MILES...
195 KM...SOUTH OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.
 
DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...23 KM/HR. ON
THIS TRACK...THE CENTER SHOULD PASS NEAR HAVANA AND MATANZAS AND
EMERGE INTO THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 115 MPH...185
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  THIS MAKES DENNIS A CATEGORY 3
HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.  SOME FURTHER WEAKENING
IS POSSIBLE WHILE THE CENTER REMAINS OVER CUBA.  HOWEVER...DENNIS IS
EXPECTED TO REGAIN MAJOR HURRICANE STATUS AS IT EMERGES OVER THE
STRAITS OF FLORIDA AND THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  65 MILES...100 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 160 MILES...260 KM.  WINDS CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN THE FLORIDA
KEYS...WITH THE NOAA AUTOMATED STATION AT SOMBRERO KEY RECENTLY
REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 59 MPH WITH A GUST TO 67 MPH AT AN
ELEVATION OF 160 FEET.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  957 MB...28.26 INCHES.
 
DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO
10 INCHES OVER CUBA...WITH LOCAL 15 INCH AMOUNTS. THESE RAINS COULD
PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. RAINFALL OF 4
TO 8 INCHES IS EXPECTED OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 5 TO 10 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...ARE STILL POSSIBLE
IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS ALONG THE SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF CUBA.
HIGHER VALUES OF STORM WILL BE POSSIBLE IN BAYS AND INLETS.  A
STORM SURGE OF 3 TO 6 FEET IS POSSIBLE IN THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS. A
STORM SURGE OF 4 TO 7 FEET IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF
FLORIDA TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE
SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA INTO SATURDAY.
 
REPEATING THE 9 PM EDT POSITION...22.8 N... 81.7 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...115 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 957 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM EDT.
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 

HURRICANE DENNIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  17A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
7 PM EDT FRI JUL 08 2005

 
...DANGEROUS MAJOR HURRICANE DENNIS CONTINUING NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS
WESTERN CUBA...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF LA
HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...MATANZAS...VILLA CLARA...
CIENFUEGOS...SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS
TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...HOLGUIN AND GUANTANAMO.  A
HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH AND THE
PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO. EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TONIGHT.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS
FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA KEYS...EAST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO
OCEAN REEF AND FLORIDA BAY.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEASTERN
GULF COAST FROM THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER WESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE
PEARL RIVER.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST
FROM ANCLOTE KEY SOUTHWARD...AND ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM
GOLDEN BEACH SOUTHWARD.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST
FROM NORTH OF ANCLOTE KEY NORTHWARD TO EAST OF THE STEINHATCHEE
RIVER.
 
A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA.  A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...FLORIDA...AND THE
EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 7 PM EDT...2300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 22.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 81.4 WEST OR ABOUT 65 MILES
... 105 KM... EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HAVANA CUBA AND ABOUT 130 MILES...
210 KM...SOUTH OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.
 
DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR. ON
THIS TRACK...THE CENTER SHOULD EMERGE OFF THE NORTH-CENTRAL COAST
OF CUBA THIS EVENING.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...200
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  THIS MAKES DENNIS A CATEGORY 3
HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.  SOME FURTHER WEAKENING
IS FORECAST AS DENNIS MOVES OVER CUBA.  HOWEVER...DENNIS IS EXPECTED
TO REMAIN A MAJOR HURRICANE AS IT EMERGES OVER THE STRAITS OF
FLORIDA AND THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO THIS EVENING.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  65 MILES...100 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 160 MILES...260 KM.  CIENFUEGOS CUBA RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND
GUST OF 93 MPH.  WINDS ARE INCREASING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS AT THIS
HOUR...WITH THE NOAA AUTOMATED STATION AT SOMBRERO KEY RECENTLY
REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 48 MPH WITH A GUST TO 60 MPH AT AN
ELEVATION OF 160 FEET.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  952 MB...28.11 INCHES.
 
DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO
10 INCHES OVER CUBA...WITH LOCAL 15 INCH AMOUNTS. THESE RAINS COULD
PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. RAINFALL OF 4
TO 8 INCHES IS EXPECTED OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 5 TO 10 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...ARE STILL POSSIBLE
IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS ALONG THE SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF CUBA.
HIGHER VALUES OF STORM WILL BE POSSIBLE IN BAYS AND INLETS.  A
STORM SURGE OF 3 TO 6 FEET IS POSSIBLE IN THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS. A
STORM SURGE OF 4 TO 7 FEET IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF
FLORIDA TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE
SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA INTO SATURDAY.
 
REPEATING THE 7 PM EDT POSITION...22.7 N... 81.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...125 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 952 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 9 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM EDT.
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 

 

 

HURRICANE DENNIS ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT FRI JUL 08 2005


...MAJOR HURRICANE DENNIS LASHING CENTRAL CUBA...
...NEW WATCHES AND WARNINGS ISSUED FOR THE UNITED STATES...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF LA
HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...MATANZAS...VILLA CLARA...
CIENFUEGOS...SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS
TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...HOLGUIN AND GUANTANAMO.  A
HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH AND THE
PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO. EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TONIGHT.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS
FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA KEYS...EAST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO
OCEAN REEF AND FLORIDA BAY.
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS
OF THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST FROM THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER WESTWARD
TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER.
 
AT 5 PM EDT...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST
COAST HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD TO ANCLOTE KEY.  A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM ANCLOTE
KEY SOUTHWARD...AND ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM GOLDEN BEACH
SOUTHWARD.
 
AT 5 PM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE
FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM NORTH OF ANCLOTE KEY NORTHWARD TO EAST OF
THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER.
 
A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA.  A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...FLORIDA...AND THE
EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 22.6 NORTH... LONGITUDE 81.1 WEST OR ABOUT 95 MILES
... 150 KM... EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HAVANA CUBA AND ABOUT 145 MILES...
235 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.
 
WHILE SOME WOBBLING HAS CONTINUED TO OCCUR...AS IS TYPICAL OF A
MAJOR HURRICANE...DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO GENERALLY MOVE TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER
SHOULD EMERGE OFF THE NORTH-CENTRAL COAST OF CUBA THIS EVENING.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 135 MPH...215
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ALTHOUGH DENNIS IS STILL A CATEGORY 4
HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE...SOME ADDITIONAL WEAKENING
IS FORECAST AS DENNIS MOVES OVER CUBA. HOWEVER...DENNIS IS EXPECTED
TO REMAIN A MAJOR HURRICANE AS IT EMERGES OVER THE STRAITS OF
FLORIDA AND THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO THIS EVENING.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  65 MILES...100 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 160 MILES...260 KM. EARLIER THIS AFTERNOON AS DENNIS MADE
LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF CUBA...A SUSTAINED WIND
OF 99 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH A GUST WIND GUST TO 149 MPH...240
KM/HR...WAS MEASURED IN CIENFUEGOS...AND EXTENSIVE DAMAGE WAS ALSO
REPORTED.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  949 MB...28.02 INCHES.
 
DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO
10 INCHES OVER CUBA...WITH LOCAL 15 INCH AMOUNTS. THESE RAINS COULD
PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. RAINFALL OF 4
TO 8 INCHES IS EXPECTED OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 5 TO 10 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...ARE STILL POSSIBLE
IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS ALONG THE SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF CUBA.
HIGHER VALUES OF STORM WILL BE POSSIBLE IN BAYS AND INLETS.  A
STORM SURGE OF 3 TO 6 FEET IS POSSIBLE IN THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS. A
STORM SURGE OF 4 TO 7 FEET IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF
FLORIDA TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE
SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA INTO SATURDAY.

REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...22.6 N... 81.1 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...135 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 949 MB.
 
INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 PM EDT AND 9 PM EDT FOLLOWED
BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM EDT.
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 

 

EVACUATIONS REPORTED AS OF 3PM CST 7-8-05

Key West and Walton Co FL evacuation ordered

Gulf Shores, AL evacuation ordered

New Orleans voluntary evacuation urged

Governor Barbour declares state of emergency-No Mississippi evacuations ordered at this time. Coast residents urged to take precaution now

 

 

HURRICANE DENNIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  16A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 PM EDT FRI JUL 08 2005

 
...DENNIS MAKING LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF CUBA
AS A STRONG CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF LA
HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...MATANZAS...VILLA CLARA...
CIENFUEGOS...SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS
TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...HOLGUIN AND GUANTANAMO.  A
HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH AND THE
PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS
FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA KEYS...EAST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO
OCEAN REEF AND FLORIDA BAY.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST
COAST SOUTH OF BONITA BEACH...AND ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST
SOUTH OF GOLDEN BEACH.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT ALONG
THE FLORIDA WEST COAST NORTH OF BONITA BEACH TO LONGBOAT KEY.
 
A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA.  A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...FLORIDA...AND THE
EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 2 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 22.1 NORTH... LONGITUDE 80.6 WEST OR NEAR CIENFUEGOS
CUBA. THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 125 MILES... 205 KM...SOUTHEAST OF HAVANA
CUBA AND ABOUT 190 MILES... 300 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST
FLORIDA.
 
WHILE SOME WOBBLING HAS OCCURRED...AS IS TYPICAL OF A MAJOR
HURRICANE...DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER
SHOULD EMERGE OFF THE NORTH-CENTRAL COAST OF CUBA THIS EVENING.
 
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT REPORTS INDICATE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 145 MPH...235 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
ALTHOUGH DENNIS IS STILL A STRONG CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE...SOME ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS
DENNIS MOVES OVER CUBA. HOWEVER...DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A
MAJOR HURRICANE AS IT EMERGES OVER THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA AND THE
SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO THIS EVENING.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  50 MILES... 85 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 160 MILES...260 KM.
 
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY MEASURED BY AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 941 MB...27.79 INCHES.
 
DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO
10 INCHES OVER CUBA...WITH LOCAL 15 INCH AMOUNTS OVER THE SIERRA
MAESTRA MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. RAINFALL OF 4 TO 8 INCHES
IS EXPECTED OVER EXTREME SOUTHERN FLORIDA...JAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN
ISLANDS. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...ARE LIKELY IN
AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF CUBA EAST OF
CABO CRUZ.  A MUCH LARGER STORM SURGE OF NEAR 20 FEET IS POSSIBLE
ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF CUBA WEST OF CABO CRUZ.  A STORM SURGE
OF 3 TO 6 FEET IS POSSIBLE IN THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS. A STORM SURGE
OF 4 TO 7 FEET IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF FLORIDA
TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE
SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA INTO SATURDAY.
 
REPEATING THE 2 PM EDT POSITION...22.1 N... 80.6 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...145 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 941 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 5 PM EDT.
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 

 

WLOX TV NEWS CHANNEL 13 MS- MIDDAY 7-8-05

Gov. Haley Barbour prepared Friday to put Mississippi on full alert and order the National Guard to provide support to emergency agencies as Hurricane Dennis set its sights on the northern Gulf of Mexico.

At 10 a.m., Dennis was centered near latitude 21.4 north, longitude 79.9 west. Hurricane-force winds extended 50 miles with tropical storm force winds stretching another 160 miles. Dennis was moving northwest near 15 mph.

The hurricane's weekend arrival comes less than a week after Tropical Storm Cindy brought heavy rain and storm surge that flooded streets all along the Mississippi coast and sent water into some homes. Thousands were temporarily without power.

Forecasters also warned Gulf Coast residents from Florida to Louisiana to be ready for Dennis to come ashore by Sunday. The storm is already "extremely dangerous,'' the National Hurricane Center said.

Dennis was blamed for at least five deaths in Haiti.

While there have been no evacuations ordered for coastal Mississippi, officials said it was obvious some tourists and residents were getting a jump on the storm.

"Traffic is already picking up on U.S. 49,'' said Amy Carruth, a spokeswoman for the Mississippi Emergency Management Agency. "And we are now focused on shelters and evacuation plans.''

U.S. 49 is a major south-north route from the coast to Jackson and farther north.

Carruth said that with the latest track moving the storm a bit west toward the Alabama-Florida line, "we have decided to go ahead and deploy our state mobile operations unit and some of our area coordinators down to the Gulf Coast and to the Hattiesburg area.''

Officials said a National Guard unit was already training at Camp Shelby south of Hattiesburg and could be deployed quickly to deal with storm hotspots.

Hotel rooms were full as far north as the Jackson area, about 150 miles north of the coast. Officials said there was a growing demand for rooms in cities farther north.

Butch Loper, civil defense director in Jackson County, said Friday that even if the center of Dennis moves ashore to the west of the Mississippi coast, "we'd still get hurricane force winds and gusts possibly 100 mph. And, roughly guessing, we could see 7 to 10 inches of rain.''

Loper said authorities were waiting the National Hurricane Center's briefing later Friday to decide on evacuation plans.

"But there's going to be some type of evacuation, probably some kind of mandatory evacuation, such as for mobile homes and low areas,'' he said.

Loper said he was still concerned about people underestimating the punch from Dennis, no matter when the storm makes landfall.

"We are receiving a lot of people calling about hurricane shelters,'' he said. "I keep trying to tell them they shouldn't go to a shelter, that shelters are a last resort. If they don't want to be here when Dennis arrives, then leave and drive to an areas away from the storm.''

Robert Latham, director of the Mississippi Emergency Management Agency said Dennis could have the greatest impact in areas north of the Gulf Coast.

Latham said Thursday the forecast models show Dennis moving inland around Meridian with winds of 60 mph as it pushes toward Tennessee. He said some models indicate even higher winds.

Some building supply stores on the Mississippi coast reported an increased demand on Thursday for items needed to board up windows. At Phillips Building Supply on U.S. 49 in Gulfport, one customer purchased 50 pieces of plywood.

At the Fasttrack convenience store in Gautier, Michelle Smith said more motorists were arriving to fill their tanks. She said those she spoke with said they were making preparations for the storm.

Latham said the state will put search and rescue teams in place before Dennis makes landfall. Once Dennis makes landfall "there's not a lot we can do,'' Latham said.

"We basically have to hunker down and wait until it passes and then come out and see what we can do.''

(Copyright 2005 by The Associated Press. All Rights Reserved.)

 

 

 

 

 

NOW 150MPH STRONG CAT 4- 11AM CST 7-8-05

 

HURRICANE DENNIS ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT FRI JUL 08 2005


...DENNIS NOW A STRONGER CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE AS IT NEARS THE
SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF CUBA...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF LA
HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...MATANZAS...VILLA CLARA...
CIENFUEGOS...SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS
TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...HOLGUIN AND GUANTANAMO.  A
HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH AND THE
PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS
FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA KEYS...EAST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO
OCEAN REEF AND FLORIDA BAY.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR CAYMAN BRAC AND LITTLE
CAYMAN ISLAND.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST
COAST SOUTH OF BONITA BEACH...AND ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST
SOUTH OF GOLDEN BEACH.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT ALONG
THE FLORIDA WEST COAST NORTH OF BONITA BEACH TO LONGBOAT KEY.
 
A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA.  A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...FLORIDA...AND THE
EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 21.4 NORTH... LONGITUDE 79.9 WEST OR ABOUT 130
MILES... 205 KM... WEST OF CAMAGUEY CUBA AND ABOUT 250 MILES... 405
KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.
 
WHILE SOME WOBBLING HAS OCCURRED...AS IS TYPICAL OF A MAJOR
HURRICANE...DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING TOWARD THE
NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER SHOULD
MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF CUBA THIS AFTERNOON.
 
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT DATA INDICATE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE
INCREASED TO NEAR 150 MPH...240 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS
IS A STRONG CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME
WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS DENNIS MOVES OVER CUBA...BUT IS EXPECTED
TO REMAIN A MAJOR HURRICANE AS IT EMERGES OVER THE STRAITS OF
FLORIDA AND THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO TONIGHT.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  50 MILES... 85 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 160 MILES...260 KM.
 
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 938 MB...27.70 INCHES.
 
DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO
10 INCHES OVER CUBA...WITH LOCAL 15 INCH AMOUNTS OVER THE SIERRA
MAESTRA MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. RAINFALL OF 4 TO 8 INCHES
IS EXPECTED OVER EXTREME SOUTHERN FLORIDA...JAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN
ISLANDS. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...ARE LIKELY IN
AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF CUBA EAST OF
CABO CRUZ.  A MUCH LARGER STORM SURGE OF NEAR 20 FEET IS POSSIBLE
ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF CUBA WEST OF CABO CRUZ.  A STORM SURGE
OF 3 TO 6 FEET IS POSSIBLE IN THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE
SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA INTO SATURDAY.
 
REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...21.4 N... 79.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...150 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 938 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 

 

HURRICANE DENNIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  15A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 AM EDT FRI JUL 08 2005


...DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE DENNIS CONTINUES TO BECOME
BETTER ORGANIZED SOUTH OF CENTRAL CUBA...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF LA
HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...MATANZAS... VILLA CLARA...
CIENFUEGOS...SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS
TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...HOLGUIN AND GUANTANAMO.  A
HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH AND THE
PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO. 
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS
FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA KEYS...EAST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO
OCEAN REEF AND FLORIDA BAY.

AT 800AM EDT...1200Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS
REPLACED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS WITH A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR CAYMAN BRAC AND LITTLE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
ALL WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR GRAND CAYMAN ISLAND.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST
SOUTH OF BONITA BEACH...AND ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST SOUTH OF
GOLDEN BEACH.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE
FLORIDA WEST COAST NORTH OF BONITA BEACH TO LONGBOAT KEY.

A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA.  A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...FLORIDA...AND THE
EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 8 AM EDT...1200Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.5 WEST OR ABOUT  230 MILES...
370 KM...SOUTHEAST OF HAVANA CUBA AND ABOUT 285 MILES...460 KM...
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.
 
DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH ...19 KM/HR.
DENNIS HAS MADE A SLIGHT WOBBLE AND HAS SLOWED DOWN SLIGHTLY DURING
THE PAST 6 HOURS. HOWEVER...A GENERAL MOTION TO THE NORTHWEST...
ALONG WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE FORWARD SPEED...IS EXPECTED TO RESUME
LATER TODAY AND CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  ON THIS
TRACK...THE EYE OF DENNIS WILL REACH THE SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF CUBA
LATER TODAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 135 MPH...215 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE
BEFORE LANDFALL IN CUBA.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  50 MILES... 85 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 140 MILES...220 KM.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 950 MB...28.05 INCHES.
 
DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO
10 INCHES OVER CUBA...WITH LOCAL 15 INCH AMOUNTS OVER THE SIERRA
MAESTRA MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. RAINFALL OF 4 TO 8 INCHES
IS EXPECTED OVER EXTREME SOUTHERN FLORIDA...JAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN
ISLANDS. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...ARE LIKELY IN
AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF CUBA EAST OF
CABO CRUZ.  A MUCH LARGER STORM SURGE OF NEAR 20 FEET IS POSSIBLE
ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF CUBA WEST OF CABO CRUZ.  A STORM SURGE
OF 3 TO 6 FEET IS POSSIBLE IN THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS.
 
REPEATING THE 8 AM EDT POSITION...20.9 N... 79.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 950 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 11 AM EDT.
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 

HURRICANE DENNIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  15A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 AM EDT FRI JUL 08 2005


...DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE DENNIS CONTINUES TO BECOME
BETTER ORGANIZED SOUTH OF CENTRAL CUBA...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF LA
HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...MATANZAS... VILLA CLARA...
CIENFUEGOS...SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS
TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...HOLGUIN AND GUANTANAMO.  A
HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH AND THE
PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO. 
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS
FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA KEYS...EAST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO
OCEAN REEF AND FLORIDA BAY.

AT 800AM EDT...1200Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS
REPLACED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS WITH A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR CAYMAN BRAC AND LITTLE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
ALL WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR GRAND CAYMAN ISLAND.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST
SOUTH OF BONITA BEACH...AND ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST SOUTH OF
GOLDEN BEACH.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE
FLORIDA WEST COAST NORTH OF BONITA BEACH TO LONGBOAT KEY.

A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA.  A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...FLORIDA...AND THE
EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 8 AM EDT...1200Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.5 WEST OR ABOUT  230 MILES...
370 KM...SOUTHEAST OF HAVANA CUBA AND ABOUT 285 MILES...460 KM...
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.
 
DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH ...19 KM/HR.
DENNIS HAS MADE A SLIGHT WOBBLE AND HAS SLOWED DOWN SLIGHTLY DURING
THE PAST 6 HOURS. HOWEVER...A GENERAL MOTION TO THE NORTHWEST...
ALONG WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE FORWARD SPEED...IS EXPECTED TO RESUME
LATER TODAY AND CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  ON THIS
TRACK...THE EYE OF DENNIS WILL REACH THE SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF CUBA
LATER TODAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 135 MPH...215 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE
BEFORE LANDFALL IN CUBA.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  50 MILES... 85 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 140 MILES...220 KM.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 950 MB...28.05 INCHES.
 
DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO
10 INCHES OVER CUBA...WITH LOCAL 15 INCH AMOUNTS OVER THE SIERRA
MAESTRA MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. RAINFALL OF 4 TO 8 INCHES
IS EXPECTED OVER EXTREME SOUTHERN FLORIDA...JAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN
ISLANDS. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...ARE LIKELY IN
AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF CUBA EAST OF
CABO CRUZ.  A MUCH LARGER STORM SURGE OF NEAR 20 FEET IS POSSIBLE
ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF CUBA WEST OF CABO CRUZ.  A STORM SURGE
OF 3 TO 6 FEET IS POSSIBLE IN THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS.
 
REPEATING THE 8 AM EDT POSITION...20.9 N... 79.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 950 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 11 AM EDT.
 
FORECASTER STEWART

 

7-8-05 FLORIDA EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT

TALLAHASSEE - The State Emergency Response Team (SERT) continues to monitor the progress of Hurricane Dennis that is nearing Cuba . The State Emergency Operations Center in Tallahassee is currently activated to a Level 1, or full activation.

As of 6:00 a.m. today, the Florida Emergency Information Line (FEIL) has been activated. Residents needing information regarding Hurricane Dennis can call between 8 a.m. and 12 midnight eastern time.

The toll-free number is: 1-800-342-3557

 

HURRICANE DENNIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  14A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 AM EDT FRI JUL 08 2005

 
...SEVERE HURRICANE DENNIS BATTERING EASTERN CUBA...EYE BACK OVER
WATER PARALLELING THE SOUTH COAST OF CUBA...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF LA
HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...MATANZAS...VILLA CLARA...CIENFUEGOS
...SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...
GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...HOLGUIN AND GUANTANAMO.  A HURRICANE
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH AND PINAR DEL RIO.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS
FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS.  A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA KEYS...EAST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO
OCEAN REEF AND FLORIDA BAY.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST
SOUTH OF BONITA BEACH...AND ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST SOUTH OF
GOLDEN BEACH.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE
FLORIDA WEST COAST NORTH OF BONITA BEACH TO LONGBOAT KEY.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF JAMAICA AND ALL OF
THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.  WARNINGS IN JAMAICA WILL LIKELY BE CANCELLED
LATER THIS MORNING.
 
A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA.
 
A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS IN THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF DENNIS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 2 AM EDT...0600Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED
OVER WATER BY A NOAA RECONNAISSANCE PLANE NEAR LATITUDE 20.3
NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.5 WEST...OR 80 MILES...125 KM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST
OF CAMAGUEY AND ABOUT 135 MILES... 215 KM...SOUTHEAST OF TRINIDAD
CUBA.
 
DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 
ON THIS TRACK...THE EYE OF DENNIS WILL REACH CENTRAL CUBA LATER
TODAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 135 MPH...215 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  DENNIS IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE.  SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE WHILE THE CENTER
OF DENNIS REMAINS OVER WATER.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  50 MILES...85 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 140 MILES...220 KM.  CAMAGUEY...CUBA REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 67
MPH...107 KM/HR A FEW HOURS AGO.
 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS 
955 MB...28.20 INCHES.
 
DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES OVER EXTREME SOUTHERN FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS...WITH 5
TO 10 INCHES OVER HAITI...JAMAICA...CUBA...AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE SIERRA
MAESTRA MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHEASTERN CUBA.  THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...ARE LIKELY IN
AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF CUBA EAST OF
CABO CRUZ.  A MUCH LARGER STORM SURGE OF NEAR 20 FEET IS POSSIBLE
ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF CUBA WEST OF CABO CRUZ.  A STORM SURGE
OF 3 TO 6 FEET IS POSSIBLE IN THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS.
 
REPEATING THE 2 AM EDT POSITION...20.3 N... 78.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 955 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 AM EDT.
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 

 

 

Hurricane Dennis goes from a CAT 1 to a DANGEROUS CAT 4 on 7-7-05

 

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 135 MPH...215 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  DENNIS IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE.  SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE WHILE THE CENTER
OF DENNIS REMAINS OVER WATER.
NHC 7-7-05

 

HURRICANE DENNIS ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT THU JUL 07 2005


...DENNIS BECOMES AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE...NEW WARNINGS ISSUED...
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS UPGRADED THE
HURRICANE WATCH TO A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE PROVINCES OF LA
HABANA AND CIUDAD DE LA HABANA.  A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN
EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF LA HABANA...CIUDANA DE LA HABANA...
MATANZAS... VILLA CLARA... CIENFUEGOS...SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIEGO DE
AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...HOLGUIN
AND GUANTANAMO.  A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE
REMAINING PROVINCES OF CUBA INCLUDING THE ISLE OF YOUTH AND PINAR
DEL RIO.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS
FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS...AND A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
FLORIDA KEYS...EAST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF
AND FLORIDA BAY.  A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE
FLORIDA KEYS EAST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF AND
FLORIDA BAY.
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT
ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST SOUTH OF BONITA BEACH...AND ALONG THE
FLORIDA EAST COAST SOUTH OF GOLDEN BEACH.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS
NOW IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST NORTH OF BONITA BEACH TO
LONGBOAT KEY.
 
AT 11 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN
PENINSULA OF HAITI IS CANCELLED.  A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN
EFFECT FOR ALL OF JAMAICA AND ALL OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.  WARNINGS
IN JAMAICA WILL LIKELY BE CANCELLED FRIDAY MORNING.
 
A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA.
 
A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN
SEA...FLORIDA...AND THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF DENNIS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 19.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  77.6 WEST OR NEAR CABO CRUZ
CUBA AND ABOUT  105 MILES... 170 KM...SOUTH OF CAMAGUEY CUBA.
 
DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH
...24 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF DENNIS
NEAR OR OVER SOUTHEASTERN CUBA TONIGHT AND CENTRAL CUBA ON FRIDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 135 MPH...215 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  DENNIS IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE.  SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE WHILE THE CENTER
OF DENNIS REMAINS OVER WATER.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  50 MILES... 85 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 140 MILES...220 KM.  AMATEUR RADIO REPORTS FROM THE AFFECTED AREA
INDICATE WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES AND STRUCTURAL DAMAGE.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  950 MB...28.05 INCHES.
 
DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES OVER EXTREME SOUTHERN FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS...WITH 5
TO 10 INCHES OVER HAITI...JAMAICA...CUBA...AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE SIERRA
MAESTRA MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHEASTERN CUBA.  THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...ARE LIKELY IN
AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF CUBA EAST OF
CABO CRUZ.  A MUCH LARGER STORM SURGE OF NEAR 20 FEET IS POSSIBLE
ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF CUBA WEST OF CABO CRUZ.  A STORM SURGE
OF 3 TO 6 FEET IS POSSIBLE IN THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS.
 
REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...19.9 N... 77.6 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...135 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 950 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM EDT.
 
FORECASTER BEVEN

 

 

 


 

FEMA-Hurricane Dennis Update

FEMA continues to monitor Hurricane Dennis very closely with our partners at the state and local level. We encourage people to pay careful attention and follow the recommendations of local emergency management. At this time, people should take precautions to keep their families safe. July 5th became the earliest date in recorded tropical storm history that four named storms (Tropical storms Arlene, Bret and Cindy preceded Dennis) had formed in the Atlantic basin.
 

 

 

MS GULF COAST TV NEWS WLOX 13-evening addition 7-7-05

Mississippi Gulf Coast residents, with a wake-up call from Tropical Storm Cindy fresh on their minds, stepped up preparations Thursday for a possible weekend encounter with Hurricane Dennis.

State emergency officials said some evacuations could begin as early as Friday and encouraged coastal residents to plan their routes and lodging before the last minute.

"We're already seeing motel rooms fill up,'' in Hattiesburg and other cities to the north, said Robert Latham, director of the Mississippi Emergency Management Agency.

Latham said that if some forecast models are correct, Dennis could move into Mississippi around Meridian after making landfall on the coast sometime Sunday, possibly packing 60 mile per hour winds as it pushes toward Tennessee. He said some models indicate even higher winds for portions of north Mississippi.

Governor Haley Barbour was being briefed Thursday afternoon and Latham said he expected the Barbour to issue a state of emergency and an executive order placing the Mississippi National Guard on alert.

"I was by Lowe's not long ago and people were getting batteries and things like that'' in preparation for the new storm, said Butch Loper, civil defense director in Jackson County.

"Now is the time to make preparations, not once evacuations are called.'' Forecasters cautioned all Gulf Coast residents from Louisiana to Florida to pay attention as Dennis. At 10 p.m. CDT Thursday, Dennis' center was still hundreds of miles southeast of Florida, about 105 miles south of Camaguey, Cuba, and moving northwest at about 15 mph.

Some building supply stores on the Mississippi coast reported an increased demand for items needed to board up windows. At Phillips Building Supply on U.S. 49 in Gulfport, one customer purchased 50 pieces of plywood.

At the Fasttrack convenience store in Gautier, Michelle Smith said more motorists were arriving to fill their tanks. She said those she spoke with said they were making preparations for the storm. Dennis is expected only days after Cindy brought flooding rains to coastal counties.

Loper said water problems lingered, including minor flooding along the Escatawpa River. Latham said MEMA was in contact with the U.S. Hurricane Center in Miami as well as county emergency management agencies in south Mississippi. He said part of the state's planning included putting search and rescue personnel in place before Dennis makes landfall.

Latham said that with the likelihood that evacuees from neighboring states will be using Mississippi evacuation routes and staying in hotels, coast residents should not delay planning. He said a survey completed following last year's hurricane season found "that 20 percent of the citizens surveyed said they would not do anything, regardless of how big the hurricane is, and that really bothers me.''

Once Dennis starts making landfall "there's not a lot we can do,'' Latham said. ``We basically have to hunker down and wait until it passes and then come out and see what we can do.'' Loper said he hoped the recent tropical storm would be fresh on the minds of coast residents. "Cindy was a wake-up call for many people down here,'' the Loper said, "There was a little more wind than many expected and they see these things can get nasty".

 

 

 

 

"DENNIS IS A
DANGEROUS CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST BEFORE THE CENTER REACHES
CENTRAL CUBA."
NHC 7-7-05

 

HURRICANE DENNIS ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT THU JUL 07 2005


...DENNIS NOW A MAJOR HURRICANE...HURRICANE WARNINGS ISSUED FOR THE
LOWER FLORIDA KEYS...

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...A HURRICANE WARNING IS ISSUED FOR THE LOWER
FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE WESTWARD TO THE DRY
TORTUGAS...AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ISSUED FOR THE REMAINDER
OF THE FLORIDA KEYS...EAST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF
AND FLORIDA BAY.  A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE
FLORIDA KEYS EAST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF AND
FLORIDA BAY.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF MATANZAS...
VILLA CLARA... CIENFUEGOS...SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIEGO DE AVILA...
CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND GUANTANAMO.
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE REMAINING PROVINCES OF
CUBA INCLUDING THE ISLE OF YOUTH...PINAR DEL RIO...LA HABANA...
CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...AND HOLGUIN.
 
A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA
PENINSULA FROM GOLDEN BEACH SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST AND SOUTH
OF BONITA BEACH ON THE WEST COAST.
 
A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA
OF HAITI FROM THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER WESTWARD...ALL OF
JAMAICA...AND ALL OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
 
INTERESTS IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 19.0 NORTH... LONGITUDE 76.6 WEST OR ABOUT 90
MILES... 145 KM... SOUTHEAST OF CABO CRUZ IN SOUTHEASTERN CUBA AND
ABOUT 125 MILES... 200 KM...SOUTHWEST OF GUANTANAMO CUBA.

DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  ON THIS
TRACK THE CENTER WILL PASS VERY NEAR CABO CRUZ TONIGHT...AND BE
VERY NEAR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF CENTRAL CUBA ON FRIDAY.

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE INDICATE THAT
DENNIS HAS CONTINUED TO STRENGTHEN...AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
ARE NOW NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  DENNIS IS A
DANGEROUS CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST BEFORE THE CENTER REACHES
CENTRAL CUBA.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  45 MILES... 75 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 140 MILES...220 KM.
 
AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE RECENTLY REPORTED A MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 957 MB...28.26 INCHES.

DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO
10 INCHES OVER HAITI...JAMAICA...CUBA...AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE SIERRA
MAESTRA MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHEASTERN CUBA.  THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...ARE LIKELY IN
AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF CUBA EAST OF
CABO CRUZ.  A MUCH LARGER STORM SURGE OF NEAR 20 FEET IS POSSIBLE
ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF CUBA WEST OF CABO CRUZ.  A STORM SURGE
OF 3 TO 6 FEET IS POSSIBLE IN THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS.

REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...19.0 N... 76.6 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 957 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 8 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM
EDT.

FORECASTER PASCH
 

"DENNIS IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND DENNIS COULD BECOME A
MAJOR HURRICANE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS."
NCH 7-7-05

 

HURRICANE DENNIS ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT THU JUL 07 2005


...HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS...TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA...

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS EXTENDED THE
HURRICANE WATCHES AND WARNINGS WESTWARD. A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW
IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF MATANZAS...VILLA CLARA...
CIENFUEGOS...SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS
TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND GUANTANAMO.  A HURRICANE
WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE REMAINING PROVINCES OF CUBA
INCLUDING THE ISLE OF YOUTH...PINAR DEL RIO...LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE
LA HABANA...AND HOLGUIN.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
AT 11 AM EDT...A HURRICANE WATCH IS ISSUED FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA
KEYS AND FLORIDA BAY.  ALSO AT 11 AM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
IS ISSUED FOR ALL OF THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA FROM GOLDEN
BEACH SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST AND SOUTH OF BONITA BEACH ON THE
WEST COAST.
 
A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA
OF HAITI FROM THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER WESTWARD...ALL OF
JAMAICA...AND ALL OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
 
INTERESTS IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 18.0 NORTH... LONGITUDE 75.6 WEST OR ABOUT 80
MILES... 125 KM... EAST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA AND ABOUT 155 MILES...
250 KM...SOUTH OF GUANTANAMO CUBA.

DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL BE PASSING VERY NEAR JAMAICA THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  DENNIS IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND DENNIS COULD BECOME A
MAJOR HURRICANE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  45 MILES... 75 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 140 MILES...220 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  968 MB...28.59 INCHES.

DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO
10 INCHES OVER SOUTHERN HISPANIOLA...JAMAICA...CUBA...AND
THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.  ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE OVER THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF JAMAICA.  THESE RAINS
COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...ARE LIKELY IN
AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS NEAR THE CENTER.  A MUCH LARGER STORM SURGE
OF 12 TO 14 FEET IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF CUBA FROM
CAMAGUEY WESTWARD.

REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...18.0 N... 75.6 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 968 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM
EDT.
 
FORECASTER PASCH/KNABB
 

 

TODAY IS
 Thu Jul 24 11:53:am CDT 2008

 

Information gathered from various sources report the following as of today's date.

 

National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Tropical Storm DOLLY Public Advisory Number 17
Issued at 1000 AM CDT THU JUL 24 2008

Tropical Storm DOLLY Forecast/Advisory Number 17
Issued at 1500 UTC THU JUL 24 2008

Tropical Storm DOLLY Forecast Discussion Number 17
Issued at 1100 AM EDT THU JUL 24 2008

Tropical Storm DOLLY Wind Speed Probabilities Number 17
Issued at 1500 UTC THU JUL 24 2008

Tropical Storm DOLLY Graphics
Issued at 1500Z

Hurricane Local Statement forTropical Storm DOLLY issued from Corpus Christi, TX
Issued at 1051 AM CDT THU JUL 24 2008

Hurricane Local Statement forTropical Storm DOLLY issued from Brownsville, TX
Issued at 1040 AM CDT THU JUL 24 2008

Atlantic Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Graphic last updated Thu, 24 Jul 2008 14:40:23 GMT

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
000 ABNT20 KNHC 241145 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT THU JUL 24 2008 FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM DOLLY...CENTERED INLAND TEXAS ABOUT 50 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF LAREDO. A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...ASSOCIATED WITH A LARGE WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE...IS LOCATED OVER THE TROPICAL EASTERN ATLANTIC ABOUT 650 MILES WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. $$ FORECASTER AVILA