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ARLENE 6/05          CINDY 7/05       DENNIS 7/05   EMILY 7/05

 

  EMILY - JUNE 10, 2005

 


Arlene at Orange Beach
6-11-05

Pensacola
6-11-05

Seagrove Beach Florida
6-11-05

Gulf Shores Pier
6-11-05

Arlene Satellite
6pm 6-11-05

Forecasted Strike Map
4pm 6-11-05

Arlene Satellite
1pm 6-11-05

Arlene Satellite
Noon 6-11-05

Arlene Satellite
10am 6-11-05

 


Forecasted Strike Map
10am 6-11-05

Gulf of Mexico Satellite
730am 6-11-05

Arlene Track
5am 6-11-05

 

PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 16 FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION ARLENE
NWS...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...CAMP SPRINGS MD
4 AM CDT SUN JUN 12 2005 
     

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION ARLENE MOVING NORTH ACROSS ALABAMA...

A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ACROSS MOST OF NORTH
ALABAMA...NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...WEST TENNESSEE...WEST
KENTUCKY...AND SOUTH INDIANA.

AT 4 AM EDT...09Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ARLENE WAS
LOCATED NEAR 33.5 NORTH....LONGITUDE 88.0 WEST... OR ABOUT 30
MILES NORTHWEST OF TUSCALOOSA ALABAMA.

ARLENE HAS BEEN MOVING NORTH NEAR 17 MPH OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY WITH A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 30 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 30.07 INCHES OR 998 MB.

SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALLS IN INCHES FROM 7 AM CDT JUNE 9
THROUGH 1 AM CDT JUNE 12:

 

 

 

WLOX TV 13 (MS) 6-12-05

Mississippi Coast Returning To Normal After Arlene Moves East
 

PASCAGOULA, Miss. (AP) Vendors and visitors returned to the beaches on the Mississippi Gulf Coast on Saturday after Tropical Storm Arlene turned to the east and made landfall just west of Pensacola in the Florida Panhandle.

It was the first named storm of the Atlantic hurricane season and had sustained winds of 60 mph when it hit land on Saturday at about 3 p.m.

Gregory Doyle, an emergency management spokeswoman in Harrison County, said people were getting out to the beaches under overcast skies with winds of about 11 mph.

Vendors also were out on the beaches.

Harrison County did not open any shelters.

Butch Loper, civil defense director in Jackson County, said the lone shelter open in Pascagoula closed Saturday afternoon, and the emergency operations center shut down shortly after.

Loper said the highest wind gusts during the day had been 34 mph.

He said the leading band of showers had moved out of Jackson County Saturday afternoon and light rain remained behind it.

Meteorologists had said there was a slight chance Arlene could build into a Category 1 hurricane by landfall but the storm weakened instead.

Arlene weakened to a tropical depression with top sustained winds of 35 mph and was centered about 15 miles east of Jackson, Ala., at 8 p.m. EDT.

Meteorologists said flooding and up to 6 inches of rain was possible in the path of Arlene's remnants through the Mississippi River valley, but all hurricane and tropical storm warnings were lifted.

The weather service had issued a tropical storm warning for the northern Gulf Coast from Grand Isle, La., to the Florida Panhandle.

Flood watches were issued for parts of Mississippi, Florida and Alabama.

Casinos remained open in Harrison and Hancock counties.

(Copyright 2005 by The Associated Press. All Rights Reserved.)

 

 

 


 

 

 
Forecasted Strike Map
4pm 6-11-05

Arlene Satellite
1pm 6-11-05

Arlene Satellite
Noon 6-11-05

Arlene Satellite
10am 6-11-05

 


Forecasted Strike Map
10am 6-11-05

Gulf of Mexico Satellite
730am 6-11-05

Arlene Track
5am 6-11-05

Forecasted Strike Map
4am 6-11-05

Gulf of Mexico Satellite
10pm 6-10-05

Forecasted Strike Map
10pm 6-10-05

Forecasted Strike Map
4pm 6-10-05

Forecasted Strike Map
10am 6-10-05

COAST- Watches &
Warnings by TWC
10am 6-10-05

Gulf of Mexico Satellite
as of 10am 6-10-05
Click here for live satellite

TS Arlene Accuweather
Forecasted Strike Map
10:00am 6-10-05

Forecasted Strike Map
4am 6-10-05

Naval Research Lab
Arlene Strike and wind prob
1201am CST 6-10-05

Gulf of Mexico Satellite
as of 1am 6-10-05
Click here for live satellite

TS Arlene Accuweather
Forecasted Strike Map
11:14pm 6-9-05

Forecasted Strike Map
10pm 6-9-05

TS Arlene Accuweather
Map and Stats
10pm CST 6-9-05

TS Arlene Accuweather
Watches and Warnings
8pm CST 6-9-05

Gulf of Mexico Satellite
as of 8pm 6-9-05
Click here for live satellite

Forcasted Strike Map
8pm 6-9-05

Forecasted Strike Map
5pm 6-9-05

Forecasted Strike Map
Noon 6-9-05

Forecasted Strike Map
8am 6-9-05

 

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ARLENE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  14A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
7 PM CDT SAT JUN 11 2005

 
...ARLENE WEAKENS INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER SOUTHWESTERN
ALABAMA...
...HEAVY RAINFALL AND POSSIBLE FLOODING STILL A THREAT...
 
AT 7 PM CDT...0000Z...ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS HAVE BEEN
DISCONTINUED.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 7 PM CDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ARLENE WAS
LOCATED INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 31.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  87.6 WEST...
NEAR BARLOW BEND ALABAMA...OR ALSO ABOUT 15 MILES EAST OF JACKSON
ALABAMA.
 
ARLENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 15 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS WITH A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST ON SUNDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH...WITH SOME
HIGHER GUSTS MAINLY NORTH AND NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. CONTINUED
WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  994 MB...29.35 INCHES.
 
ARLENE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4
INCHES PRIMARILY TO THE NORTH AND JUST TO THE WEST OF THE STORM
TRACK...FROM THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY NORTHWARD INTO PARTS OF
EASTERN INDIANA AND WESTERN OHIO OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS.  ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THIS AREA.

COASTAL WATER LEVELS SHOULD CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY DECREASE ALONG
THE GULF COASTAL AREAS OF ALABAMA AND FLORIDA. HOWEVER...DANGEROUS
RIP CURRENTS ARE STILL POSSIBLE IN THIS AREA.
 
REPEATING THE 7 PM CDT POSITION...31.4 N... 87.6 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 15 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 994 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 10 PM CDT.
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 

 

TROPICAL STORM ARLENE ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT SAT JUN 11 2005


...CENTER OF ARLENE MOVES INLAND JUST WEST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA...
 
AT 4 PM CDT...2100 UTC...ALL HURRICANE WATCHES AND WARNINGS AND ALL
COASTAL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED...EXCEPT FOR A
PORTION OF THE COAST FROM THE ALABAMA/MISSISSIPPI BORDER EASTWARD
TO PANAMA CITY FLORIDA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT
ONLY FROM THE ALABAMA/MISSISSIPPI BORDER EASTWARD TO PANAMA CITY.
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER
TONIGHT.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE LARGE CENTER OF CIRCULATION OF TROPICAL
STORM ARLENE WAS LOCATED INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 30.7 NORTH...
LONGITUDE  87.4 WEST...OR ABOUT 20 MILES NORTHWEST OF PENSACOLA
FLORIDA.
 
ARLENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 15 MPH. THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...BRINGING THE CENTER
OF ARLENE FARTHER INLAND.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS...CONFINED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER AND OVER WATER. 
WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES TO THE
SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  991 MB...29.26 INCHES.
 
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CONTINUES
EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER HAS MADE LANDFALL. SURGE AND WAVES SHOULD
GRADUALLY DECREASE DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. COASTAL WATER LEVELS
ARE BEGINNING TO DECREASE TO THE WEST OF WHERE THE CENTER HAS MADE
LANDFALL.

ARLENE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4
INCHES PRIMARILY TO THE NORTH AND JUST TO THE WEST OF THE STORM
TRACK...FROM THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY NORTHWARD INTO PARTS OF
EASTERN INDIANA AND WESTERN OHIO OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS.  ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THIS AREA.

REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...30.7 N... 87.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 15 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 991 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 7 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 PM
CDT.
 
FORECASTER AVILA/KNABB
 

 

WLOX TV 13 (MS)  6-11-05- pm release

Tropical Storm Arlene weakened as it blew ashore Saturday on the Gulf Coast, but still packed enough punch that it brought sheets of rain, 20-foot waves and heavy wind to the same area that was devastated by Hurricane Ivan nine months ago. The first named storm of the Atlantic hurricane season had threatened to strengthen to a hurricane but had sustained wind of only about 60 mph when it made landfall at around 3 p.m. along the Alabama-Florida Panhandle coast.

That was nearly the same spot where Ivan came ashore Sept. 16 with wind howling at 130 mph. Ivan was one of four hurricanes to batter Florida in the space of weeks last summer. ``This is nothing like the thing we had last year,'' said Kris Davis, a waitress at McGuire's Irish Pub in coastal Destin. Initial reports of damage were minimal, including power outages and some flooding on Alabama's coastal highways. There were no immediate reports of deaths blamed on the storm Saturday, but one woman died Friday after being pulled from strong surf on Miami Beach, more than 500 miles southeast of the landfall point. Arlene later weakened to 50 mph, but was expected to continue lashing a wide swath of the region for several hours, perhaps stretching into early Sunday.

 

 

 

TROPICAL STORM ARLENE ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT SAT JUN 11 2005


...CENTER OF ARLENE MOVES INLAND JUST WEST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA...
 
AT 4 PM CDT...2100 UTC...ALL HURRICANE WATCHES AND WARNINGS AND ALL
COASTAL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED...EXCEPT FOR A
PORTION OF THE COAST FROM THE ALABAMA/MISSISSIPPI BORDER EASTWARD
TO PANAMA CITY FLORIDA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT
ONLY FROM THE ALABAMA/MISSISSIPPI BORDER EASTWARD TO PANAMA CITY.
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER
TONIGHT.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE LARGE CENTER OF CIRCULATION OF TROPICAL
STORM ARLENE WAS LOCATED INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 30.7 NORTH...
LONGITUDE  87.4 WEST...OR ABOUT 20 MILES NORTHWEST OF PENSACOLA
FLORIDA.
 
ARLENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 15 MPH. THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...BRINGING THE CENTER
OF ARLENE FARTHER INLAND.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS...CONFINED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER AND OVER WATER. 
WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES TO THE
SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  991 MB...29.26 INCHES.
 
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CONTINUES
EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER HAS MADE LANDFALL. SURGE AND WAVES SHOULD
GRADUALLY DECREASE DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. COASTAL WATER LEVELS
ARE BEGINNING TO DECREASE TO THE WEST OF WHERE THE CENTER HAS MADE
LANDFALL.

ARLENE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4
INCHES PRIMARILY TO THE NORTH AND JUST TO THE WEST OF THE STORM
TRACK...FROM THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY NORTHWARD INTO PARTS OF
EASTERN INDIANA AND WESTERN OHIO OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS.  ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THIS AREA.

REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...30.7 N... 87.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 15 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 991 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 7 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 PM
CDT.
 
FORECASTER AVILA/KNABB

 

TROPICAL STORM ARLENE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  13A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1 PM CDT SAT JUN 11 2005

 
...RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT FINDS ARLENE A LITTLE WEAKER...CHANCES OF
BECOMING A HURRICANE DIMINISHING...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTH
CENTRAL GULF COAST FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI EASTWARD TO DESTIN
FLORIDA.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT
FROM THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER EASTWARD TO WEST OF PASCAGOULA
MISSISSIPPI.

AT 1 PM CDT...1800 UTC...THE HURRICANE WATCH FROM EAST OF DESTIN TO
INDIAN PASS FLORIDA HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST FROM GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL
RIVER...INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...
AND ALSO FROM EAST OF DESTIN FLORIDA EASTWARD TO OCHLOCKNEE RIVER
FLORIDA.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO AND THE
SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 1 PM CDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ARLENE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  87.5 WEST OR ABOUT
20 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GULF SHORES ALABAMA.
 
ARLENE HAS BEEN MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 14 MPH.  ON THIS
TRACK...THE BROAD CIRCULATION CENTER OF ARLENE SHOULD CROSS THE
COAST NEAR THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.
 
DATA FROM A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE INDICATE THAT ARLENE HAS WEAKENED
SLIGHTLY BUT REMAINS A STRONG TROPICAL STORM WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 60 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THE POTENTIAL FOR ARLENE TO
BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE LANDFALL HAS DECREASED.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES MAINLY TO
THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT WAS 991 MB...29.26 INCHES.
 
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.
WATER LEVELS ARE CURRENTLY ABOUT ONE TO TWO FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST.
 
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED WITH ARLENE
FROM THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL GULF COAST NORTHWARD THROUGH THE
TENNESSEE VALLEY AND INTO THE LOWER TO MIDDLE OHIO VALLEY OVER THE
NEXT TWO DAYS. ISOLATED MAXIMUM RAINFALL TOTALS OF 8 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE VICINITY OF THE GULF COAST.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ALABAMA...SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND
NORTHWESTERN FLORIDA TODAY.
 
REPEATING THE 1 PM CDT POSITION...30.0 N... 87.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 14 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 60 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 991 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
4 PM CDT.
 
FORECASTER AVILA/KNABB
 

 

 

FROM WLOX TV 13 -NOON 6-11-05

Heavy rain drenched the Florida Panhandle early Saturday as Tropical Storm Arlene plodded toward the northern Gulf Coast, leaving weather-weary residents under a hurricane warning. The warning stretched from Pascagoula to Destin in the western Florida Panhandle. At 10 a.m, the storm was 85 miles south-southeast of Mobile, Ala., meandering toward the north-northwest at 14 mph.

Forecasters said a slight chance existed of Arlene building into a Category 1 storm by its expected mid-afternoon landfall. Hurricane conditions exist when a storm has sustained winds of at least 74 mph or dangerously high water or both. Arlene had sustained winds of 70 mph, with higher gusts. Florida officials said about 212 people sought refuge in six shelters open in Escambia and Santa Rosa counties, two areas hit hard last year by Hurricane Ivan; one shelter in Walton County opened, but no one arrived. ``I really believe there are a lot of folks that were looking at this and saying 'OK, it's not a hurricane, it's not a Hurricane Ivan and we're probably going to be OK to stay where we are,''' said Escambia County spokeswoman Sonya Smith. Many Panhandle residents are still reeling from Ivan. Piles of debris, gutted homes and storm-damaged roofs covered by plastic blue tarps are vivid reminders of Ivan's wrath. ``I was pretty shocked to see how bad it still was,'' said tourist Roddy Rogers, 46, of Springfield, Mo. ``I've been in third-world countries and it looks kind of like that in some places.'' Arlene lacked the potential for devastation that Ivan _ which made landfall as a Category 3 storm and was blamed for 29 deaths in Florida alone _ had, yet officials and residents were preparing for flooding, wind damage and other issues.

By mid-morning, about 4,000 Gulf Power customers in Escambia County lost power. Most had their electricity restored quickly because workers took advantage of lulls in between bands of wind and rain. ``It's mostly been because of tree limbs that were weakened or cracked by Hurricane Ivan,'' said John Hutchinson, Gulf Power's general manager of public affairs. Officials urged thousands of people in low-lying areas of three Panhandle counties to evacuate, and people flocked to hardware stores to buy generators, flashlights and other hurricane supplies. At the Islander Package and Lounge in Pensacola Beach, a sign read, ``Here we go again.'' Forecasters said 5-foot storm surges and 8 inches of precipitation were possible. Gov. Jeb Bush declared a state of emergency. In Gulf Shores, Ala., residents worried about the storm undoing repairs and adding to beach erosion from Ivan. Outside Sue Alford's beachside townhouse, a steel container held some of the remnants of Ivan's destruction. ``My biggest concern is there's so much debris around,'' she said.

Tropical storm warnings extended from Destin to Steinhatchee along the north Florida coast _ communities separated by nearly 200 miles. Flood watches were issued for parts of Florida, Mississippi and Alabama. Arlene moved northward Friday through the Gulf of Mexico, drenching western Cuba and bringing heavy rain, winds and rough seas to South Florida. A Russian exchange student died after she was pulled from rolling waves off Miami Beach, officials said. Severe weather concerns were not limited to areas in Arlene's direct path. A tornado watch was issued for a huge swath of the Gulf region, stretching from 50 miles south-southwest of Orlando, Fla., to 45 miles northwest of Dothan, Ala. The tornadoes could be accompanied by thunder, lightning, half-inch hail and 70 mph wind gusts. Plus, drenching rains were expected over the peninsula throughout the day. Minor Arlene-related wind damage was reported in Broward County _ 500 miles southeast of the projected landfall spot. ``I was hoping to go around it this morning,'' said Carlos Valverde, 38, who drove through a visibility-limiting rain band 40 miles west of Tallahassee on his way from Jacksonville to San Antonio along Interstate 10. ``Evidently not. ... I'm not used to all the rain like this.'' Escambia County's voluntary evacuation included parts of Pensacola and covered up to 50,000 people. Santa Rosa and Walton County also asked for evacuations in flood-prone areas but had no estimates of how many people they covered.

 

 

TROPICAL STORM ARLENE ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT SAT JUN 11 2005


...WINDS AND RAINS INCREASING ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST AS THE
CENTER OF ARLENE APPROACHES...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTH
CENTRAL GULF COAST FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI EASTWARD TO DESTIN
FLORIDA.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT
FROM THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER EASTWARD TO WEST OF PASCAGOULA
MISSISSIPPI...AND ALSO FROM EAST OF DESTIN FLORIDA EASTWARD TO
INDIAN PASS FLORIDA.
 
AT 10 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM EAST OF
OCHLOCKNEE RIVER TO STEINHATCHEE RIVER HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST FROM GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL
RIVER...INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE
PONTCHARTRAIN...AND ALSO FROM INDIAN PASS FLORIDA EASTWARD TO
OCHLOCKNEE RIVER FLORIDA.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO AND THE
SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ARLENE WAS
ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  87.4 WEST OR ABOUT
110 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
AND ABOUT 85 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MOBILE ALABAMA.
 
ARLENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH.  ON THIS
TRACK...THE CENTER OF ARLENE SHOULD CROSS THE COAST WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA LATER TODAY.
 
ARLENE REMAINS JUST BELOW HURRICANE STRENGTH WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 70 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THERE IS STILL A SLIGHT CHANCE
FOR ARLENE TO BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE LANDFALL.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES MAINLY TO
THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  990 MB...29.23 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.
WATER LEVELS ARE CURRENTLY ABOUT ONE TO TWO FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST.
 
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED WITH ARLENE
FROM THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL GULF COAST NORTHWARD THROUGH THE
TENNESSEE VALLEY AND INTO THE LOWER TO MIDDLE OHIO VALLEY OVER THE
NEXT TWO DAYS. ISOLATED MAXIMUM RAINFALL TOTALS OF 8 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE VICINITY OF THE GULF COAST.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ALABAMA...SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND
NORTHWESTERN FLORIDA TODAY.

REPEATING THE 10 AM CDT POSITION...29.6 N... 87.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 70 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 990 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 1 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 PM
CDT.
 
FORECASTER AVILA/KNABB
 

 

 

 

TROPICAL STORM ARLENE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  12A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
7 AM CDT SAT JUN 11 2005

 
...ARLENE CONTINUES TOWARD THE NORTHERN GULF COAST AS A STRONG
TROPICAL STORM...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTH
CENTRAL GULF COAST FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI EASTWARD TO DESTIN
FLORIDA. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 24 HOURS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT
FROM THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER EASTWARD TO WEST OF PASCAGOULA
MISSISSIPPI...AND ALSO FROM EAST OF DESTIN FLORIDA EASTWARD TO
INDIAN PASS FLORIDA. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN
36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST FROM GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL
RIVER.....INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE
PONTCHARTRAIN...AND ALSO FROM INDIAN PASS FLORIDA EASTWARD TO
STEINHATCHEE RIVER FLORIDA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO AND ADJACENT LAND
AREAS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 7 AM CDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ARLENE WAS
LOCATED BY A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE NEAR LATITUDE 29.0 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 87.2 WEST OR ABOUT 115 MILES EAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER AND ABOUT 105 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MOBILE
ALABAMA.
 
ARLENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH.  THIS
MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF ARLENE TO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST
LATER TODAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 70 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
THERE IS STILL POTENTIAL FOR ARLENE TO BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE
LANDFALL.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES...MAINLY
TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS  990 MB...29.23 INCHES.
 
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.
WATER LEVELS ARE CURRENTLY ABOUT ONE FOOT ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST.
 
ARLENE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES ALONG AND TO THE EAST OF THE FORECAST TRACK ACROSS THE
FLORIDA PANHANDLE...THE SOUTHEAST...THE TENNESSEE VALLEY...AND INTO
THE LOWER TO MIDDLE OHIO VALLEY. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO
10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE EASTERN GULF COAST.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ALABAMA...SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND
NORTHWESTERN FLORIDA TODAY.
 
REPEATING THE 7 AM CDT POSITION...29.0 N... 87.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 70 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
10 AM CDT.
 
FORECASTER AVILA/KNABB

 

 

TROPICAL STORM ARLENE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  11A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1 AM CDT SAT JUN 11 2005

 
...ARLENE CONTINUING NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD THE NORTHERN GULF COAST
WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTH
CENTRAL GULF COAST FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI EASTWARD TO DESTIN
FLORIDA. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 24 HOURS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT
FROM THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER EASTWARD TO WEST OF PASCAGOULA
MISSISSIPPI...AND ALSO FROM EAST OF DESTIN FLORIDA EASTWARD TO
INDIAN PASS FLORIDA. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN
36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST FROM GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL
RIVER.....INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE
PONTCHARTRAIN...AND ALSO FROM INDIAN PASS FLORIDA EASTWARD TO
STEINHATCHEE RIVER FLORIDA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO AND ADJACENT LAND
AREAS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 1 AM CDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ARLENE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.5 NORTH... LONGITUDE 86.6 WEST OR ABOUT
190 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AND ABOUT
210 MILES SOUTH OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA.
 
ARLENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH.  A GENERAL MOTION
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF ARLENE WILL BE APPROACHING
THE NORTHERN GULF COAST SATURDAY AFTERNOON OR EVENING. ARLENE
REMAINS A LARGE TROPICAL STORM...AND MOST OF THE ASSOCIATED RAIN
AND WINDS WILL ARRIVE MUCH EARLIER THAN THE CENTER.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  70 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...AND
THESE WINDS ARE OCCURRING MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE
CENTER. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST BEFORE LANDFALL...AND ARLENE
COULD BECOME A CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE LATER TODAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES
...MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.  A NOAA AUTOMATED
STATION SOUTH OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED
WINDS OF 39 MPH WITH A GUST TO 44 MPH.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.
 
ARLENE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES ALONG AND TO THE EAST OF THE FORECAST TRACK ACROSS
FLORIDA...THE SOUTHEAST...THE APPALACHIANS...THE TENNESSEE
VALLEY...AND THE OHIO VALLEY. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 12
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE EASTERN GULF COAST.
 
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.
WATER LEVELS ARE CURRENTLY ABOUT ONE FOOT ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES COULD OCCUR OVER PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PENINSULA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA KEYS TONIGHT AND SATURDAY
MORNING.
 
REPEATING THE 1 AM CDT POSITION...27.5 N... 86.6 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 70 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 989 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 4 AM CDT.
 
FORECASTER BEVEN


 

 

 

 


 

 

 

 

 

WLOX TV 13-  6-10-05

Tropical storm warnings and hurricane watches were posted from Florida to Louisiana for Arlene, which had top sustained winds of 60 mph, up from 45 mph earlier in the day. The storm could become a weak hurricane by the time it makes landfall along the Mississippi-Alabama line.

 

 


 
 

MEMA RELEASES UPDATED TROPICAL STORM ARLENE INFORMATION - 6-10-05

 

Jackson Mississippi Emergency Management Agency Director Robert Latham deployed three area coordinators to Hancock, Harrison and Jackson counties. MEMA is also receiving forecast predictions from the National Hurricane Center at 2 and 4 p.m. today. Those predictions will determine if more area coordinators are needed in additional counties or if the State Emergency Response Team will be deployed to assist with county operations centers.

 

“Although this storm is not expected to be a major hurricane event for our state, many of our citizens in low-lying areas could experience flooding and should take precautions from their local emergency management offices,” Latham said.

 

The National Weather Service predicts parts of Jackson County could have a 2-3 foot storm surge, 60 mph winds and 5 to 10 inches of rain. The weather service also advised that the storm is expected to be moving at a speed of 15 mph and would reach Tennessee by Sunday afternoon.

Flooding of low-lying areas and roadways along the coast will be possible. Additional wave action will also compound the effects of the storm surge.

 

The following information is being released from coastal counties:          

 


 

10pm CST ADVISORY FROM THE NHC
HURRICANE WARNING FOR PASCAGOULA MS EASTWARD TO DESTIN FLORIDA
HURRICANE WATCH AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PASCAGOULA MS WESTWARD TO MORGAN CITY LA
AND FROM DESTIN FL EASTWARD TO INDIAN PASS FL.

 

TROPICAL STORM ARLENE ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT FRI JUN 10 2005


...ARLENE SLOWS A LITTLE AS IT TURNS NORTHWESTWARD...
 
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
PORTIONS OF THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST FROM PASCAGOULA
MISSISSIPPI EASTWARD TO DESTIN FLORIDA. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...
GENERALLY WITHIN 24 HOURS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT
FROM THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER EASTWARD TO WEST OF PASCAGOULA
MISSISSIPPI...AND ALSO FROM EAST OF DESTIN FLORIDA EASTWARD TO
INDIAN PASS FLORIDA. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN
36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST FROM GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA TO THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL
RIVER.....INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE
PONTCHARTRAIN...AND ALSO FROM INDIAN PASS FLORIDA EASTWARD TO
STEINHATCHEE RIVER FLORIDA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE DRY
TORTUGAS HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO AND ADJACENT LAND
AREAS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ARLENE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.1 NORTH... LONGITUDE 86.1 WEST OR ABOUT
230 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AND ABOUT
245 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA.
 
ARLENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION...ALONG WITH SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN FORWARD SPEED...IS
EXPECTED UNTIL LANDFALL OCCURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF
ARLENE WILL BE APPROACHING THE NORTHERN GULF COAST SATURDAY
AFTERNOON OR EVENING. ARLENE REMAINS A LARGE TROPICAL STORM...AND
MOST OF THE ASSOCIATED RAIN AND WINDS WILL ARRIVE MUCH EARLIER THAN
THE CENTER.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  70 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...AND
THESE WINDS ARE OCCURRING MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE
CENTER. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 18
HOURS...AND ARLENE COULD BECOME A CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE ON SATURDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES
...MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A NOAA RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT WAS  989 MB...29.21 INCHES.

ARLENE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES ALONG AND TO THE EAST OF THE FORECAST TRACK ACROSS
FLORIDA...THE SOUTHEAST...THE APPALACHIANS...THE TENNESSEE
VALLEY...AND THE OHIO VALLEY. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 12
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE EASTERN GULF COAST.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.
WATER LEVELS ARE CURRENTLY ABOUT ONE FOOT ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST.

ISOLATED TORNADOES COULD OCCUR OVER PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PENINSULA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA KEYS TONIGHT AND SATURDAY
MORNING.
 
REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...27.1 N... 86.1 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 70 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 989 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 AM CDT.
 
FORECASTER STEWART

 

 

TROPICAL STORM ARLENE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  10A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 PM EDT FRI JUN 10 2005

 
...ARLENE BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST...COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY SATURDAY...

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL
RIVER TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...
GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST FROM GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA TO STEINHATCHEE RIVER FLORIDA...
INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE DRY TORTUGAS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO AND ADJACENT LAND
AREAS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 8 PM EDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ARLENE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.4 NORTH... LONGITUDE 85.6 WEST OR ABOUT
280 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AND
ABOUT 295 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA.
 
ARLENE IS NOW MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD NEAR 18 MPH...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON
THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF ARLENE WILL BE APPROACHING THE NORTHERN
COAST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO ON SATURDAY. ARLENE IS A LARGE TROPICAL
STORM...AND MOST OF THE ASSOCIATED RAIN AND WINDS WILL ARRIVE MUCH
EARLIER THAN THE CENTER.
 
RECENT DATA FROM A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE NOW INCREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS...AND THESE WINDS ARE OCCURRING MAINLY TO THE NORTH
AND EAST OF THE CENTER. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS...AND ARLENE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TONIGHT
OR ON SATURDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES... MAINLY
TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A NOAA RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT WAS  992 MB...29.29 INCHES.
 
HEAVY RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ARLENE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS
CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA AND MOST OF FLORIDA. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THESE REGIONS...WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 7 INCHES. HEAVY RAIN ASSOCIATED
WITH ARLENE WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHWARD THROUGH THE SOUTHEAST
...SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS...TENNESSEE VALLEY AND OHIO VALLEY THIS
EVENING INTO THIS WEEKEND. STORM TOTAL PRECIPITATION OF 4 TO 8
INCHES IS EXPECTED ALONG AND TO THE EAST OF THE TRACK OF ARLENE...
WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 12 INCHES ALONG THE CENTRAL TO
EASTERN GULF COAST STATES.
 
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.
WATER LEVELS ARE CURRENTLY ABOUT ONE-HALF FOOT ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES COULD OCCUR OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN AND
WEST-CENTRAL FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS TONIGHT.
 
REPEATING THE 8 PM EDT POSITION...26.4 N... 85.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...
70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 992 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 11 PM EDT.

 

 

"AT 10am CST -...ARLENE STRENGTHENS IN THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO...
...HURRICANE WATCH AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST..
.
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER- PUBLIC ADVISORY 9,  RELEASED 10am cst 6/10/05

 

 

 

TROPICAL STORM ARLENE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   9A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 PM EDT FRI JUN 10 2005

 
...ARLENE MOVING NORTHWARD OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO...
...PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS OVER PORTIONS OF FLORIDA...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE
GULF OF MEXICO FROM GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA TO ST MARKS FLORIDA...
INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A
HURRICANE WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FROM THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER
TO PANAMA CITY FLORIDA. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE DRY TORTUGAS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF GRAND ISLE
LOUISIANA TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA
DURING THE NEXT 36 HR.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO AND ADJACENT LAND
AREAS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 2 PM EDT...1800Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
ARLENE WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.0 NORTH... LONGITUDE 85.0
WEST OR ABOUT 375 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI
RIVER AND ABOUT 400 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA.
 
ARLENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 13 MPH. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD
THE NORTH-NORTHWEST WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF
ARLENE WILL BE APPROACHING THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO
ON SATURDAY. HOWEVER...MOST OF THE WEATHER ASSOCIATED WITH ARLENE
WILL ARRIVE MUCH EARLIER THAN THE CENTER.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND IT IS
POSSIBLE THAT ARLENE COULD REACH HURRICANE STRENGTH BEFORE
LANDFALL. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 45 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 55 MPH...WERE
RECENTLY REPORTED AT DRY TORTUGAS. AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER
AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY APPROACHING ARLENE.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES...MAINLY
TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...BASED ON A SHIP OBSERVATION...
IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.
 
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER
WESTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA. GENERAL 3 TO 5 INCH RAINS WITH ISOLATED
HEAVIER AMOUNTS TO OVER 7 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHERN AND
CENTRAL FLORIDA OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  HEAVY RAINFALL ASSOCIATED
WITH ARLENE WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL GULF COAST
REGION BY FRIDAY EVENING.
 
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.
WATER LEVELS ARE CURRENTLY ABOUT ONE-HALF FOOT ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES MAY OCCUR OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN FLORIDA AND
THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.
 
REPEATING THE 2 PM EDT POSITION...25.0 N... 85.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 60 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 PM EDT.
 
FORECASTER KNABB/AVILA

 

 

TROPICAL STORM ARLENE ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT FRI JUN 10 2005


...ARLENE STRENGTHENS IN THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO...
...HURRICANE WATCH AND TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST...
 
AT 11 AM...1500 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO FROM GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA
TO ST MARKS FLORIDA...INCLUDING LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. ALSO AT 11 AM
...A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL
RIVER TO PANAMA CITY FLORIDA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE DRY TORTUGAS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF GRAND ISLE
LOUISIANA TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA
DURING THE NEXT 36 HR.
 
AT 11 AM EDT...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR CUBA HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE
SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
SATELLITE IMAGES...AIRCRAFT DATA...AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE
THAT THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF ARLENE HAS REFORMED A LITTLE
NORTH OF THE PREVIOUS POSITION. AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER
OF TROPICAL STORM ARLENE WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.0 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 84.9 WEST OR ABOUT 440 MILES... 705 KM... SOUTHEAST OF
THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AND ABOUT 470 MILES... 755
KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA.
 
ARLENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR.
A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  ON THIS
TRACK...THE CENTER OF ARLENE WILL BE APPROACHING THE NORTHERN COAST
OF THE GULF OF MEXICO ON SATURDAY.  HOWEVER...MOST OF THE WEATHER
ASSOCIATED WITH ARLENE WILL ARRIVE MUCH EARLIER THAN THE CENTER.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND
IT IS POSSIBLE THAT ARLENE COULD REACH HURRICANE STRENGTH BEFORE
LANDFALL.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES
...240 KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER
WESTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA. GENERAL 3 TO 5 INCH RAINS WITH ISOLATED
HEAVIER AMOUNTS TO OVER 7 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHERN AND
CENTRAL FLORIDA OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  HEAVY RAINFALL ASSOCIATED
WITH ARLENE WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL GULF COAST
REGION BY FRIDAY EVENING.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.
WATER LEVELS ARE CURRENTLY ABOUT ONE-HALF FOOT ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST.

ISOLATED TORNADOES MAY OCCUR OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN FLORIDA AND
THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.
 
REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...24.0 N... 84.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 60 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM
EDT.
 
FORECASTER KNABB/AVILA
 

 

TROPICAL STORM ARLENE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   8A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 AM EDT FRI JUN 10 2005

 
...ARLENE EMERGING INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN CUBA FROM
PINAR DEL RIO TO THE CITY OF HAVANA AND HAVANA PROVINCES...INCLUDING
THE ISLE OF YOUTH.  THESE WARNINGS MAY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE DRY TORTUGAS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO INDIAN PASS FLORIDA. A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN
THE WATCH AREA DURING THE NEXT 36 HR.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE
EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 8 AM EDT...1200Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
ARLENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  84.8
WEST...ABOUT 50 MILES...80 KM...NORTH OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA.
 
ARLENE IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH
...16 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH
AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS
TRACK...ARLENE WILL BE MOVING AWAY FROM WESTERN CUBA THIS
MORNING...AND WILL BE MOVING ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO
TODAY AND TONIGHT.
 
REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 55 MPH... 90
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  THESE WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL
AREA TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING
IS STILL POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES
...220 KM TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
 
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER
IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.
 
STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS ACROSS MUCH OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA...WITH
ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 15 INCHES IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF CUBA.
GENERAL 3 TO 5 INCH AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS OVER THE NEXT
24 HOURS.  HEAVY RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ARLENE WILL LIKELY BEGIN
TO SPREAD ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN GULF COAST REGION LATER
TONIGHT.
 
SOME COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ON THE SOUTHERN COAST OF WESTERN
CUBA.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES MAY OCCUR OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST FLORIDA AND
THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.
 
REPEATING THE 8 AM EDT POSITION...22.6 N... 84.8 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR  10 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 55 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 AM EDT.
 
FORECASTER KNABB/AVILA

 

 

 

"AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT ALONG
THE NORTHERN GULF COAST FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO INDIAN PASS
FLORIDA.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA DURING THE NEXT 36 HR."

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER- PUBLIC ADVISORY 8,  RELEASED 4am cst 6/10/05

 

 

TROPICAL STORM ARLENE ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT FRI JUN 10 2005


...ARLENE TURNS NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AND STRENGTHENS
SLIGHTLY...TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE NORTHERN GULF COAST...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN CUBA FROM
PINAR DEL RIO TO THE CITY OF HAVANA AND HAVANA PROVINCES...INCLUDING
THE ISLE OF YOUTH.  THESE WARNINGS MAY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE DRY TORTUGAS.
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT ALONG
THE NORTHERN GULF COAST FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA TO INDIAN PASS
FLORIDA.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA DURING THE NEXT 36 HR.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE
EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
ARLENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  84.8 WEST
OR ABOUT  10 MILES...  15 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE WESTERN TIP
OF CUBA.
 
ARLENE IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR  8 MPH
...13 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH
AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  THIS MOTION
SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF ARLENE INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO TODAY.
 
REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR  45 MPH... 75
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL SLOW STRENGTHENING IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES
...220 KM TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
 
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER
IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.
 
STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS ACROSS MUCH OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA...WITH
ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 15 INCHES IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF CUBA.
GENERAL 3 TO 5 INCH AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS OVER THE NEXT
24 HOURS.  HEAVY RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH ARLENE WILL LIKELY BEGIN
TO SPREAD ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN GULF COAST REGION LATER
TONIGHT.
 
SOME COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ON THE SOUTHERN COAST OF WESTERN
CUBA.

ISOLATED TORNADOES MAY OCCUR OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST FLORIDA AND
THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.
 
REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...21.6 N... 84.8 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR  8 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 45 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM EDT.
 
FORECASTER BEVEN

"A TROPICAL STORM WATCH WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FRIDAY MORNING FOR
PORTIONS OF THE NORTH CENTRAL U.S. GULF COAST FROM SOUTHEASTERN
LOUISIANA EASTWARD TO THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE."
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER- PUBLIC ADVISORY 7,  RELEASED 11PM CDT 6/9/05

 

TROPICAL STORM ARLENE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   7A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 AM EDT FRI JUN 10 2005

 
...ARLENE SPREADING HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS ACROSS
WESTERN CUBA...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE DRY TORTUGAS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN CUBA FROM
PINAR DEL RIO TO THE CITY OF HAVANA AND HAVANA PROVINCES...INCLUDING
THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED THIS MORNING FOR
PORTIONS OF THE NORTH CENTRAL U.S. GULF COAST FROM SOUTHEASTERN
LOUISIANA EASTWARD TO THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE
SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 2 AM EDT...0600Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
ARLENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.1 NORTH... LONGITUDE 84.4 WEST
OR ABOUT 65 MILES... 105 KM... SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE WESTERN TIP
OF CUBA.
 
ARLENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. ON THIS
TRACK...THE CENTER OF ARLENE SHOULD CROSS NEAR OR OVER WESTERN CUBA
THIS MORNING. A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ACCOMPANIED BY A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. SOME
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...MAINLY AFTER
THE CENTER MOVES NORTH OF CUBA AND OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES
...185 KM TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.
 
HEAVY RAINFALL...ACCOMPANIED BY BRIEF GUSTY WINDS...WILL CONTINUE
TO SPREAD ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA...AND INTO EXTREME
SOUTHERN FLORIDA...ESPECIALLY THE FLORIDA KEYS. TOTAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS
ACROSS MUCH OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP
TO 15 INCHES IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF CUBA. GENERAL 3 TO 5 INCH
AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FLORIDA KEYS OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
 
SOME COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ON THE SOUTHERN COAST OF WESTERN
CUBA.
 
REPEATING THE 2 AM EDT POSITION...21.1 N... 84.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR  8 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM EDT.
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

TROPICAL STORM ARLENE ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT THU JUN 09 2005


...ARLENE SPREADING HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS ACROSS
WESTERN CUBA...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE DRY TORTUGAS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN CUBA FROM
PINAR DEL RIO TO THE CITY OF HAVANA AND HAVANA PROVINCES...INCLUDING
THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FRIDAY MORNING FOR
PORTIONS OF THE NORTH CENTRAL U.S. GULF COAST FROM SOUTHEASTERN
LOUISIANA EASTWARD TO THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE
SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
ARLENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE 84.3 WEST
OR ABOUT 75 MILES... 120 KM... SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE WESTERN TIP
OF CUBA.
 
ARLENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. ON THIS
TRACK...THE CENTER OF ARLENE SHOULD CROSS NEAR OR OVER WESTERN CUBA
EARLY FRIDAY. A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ACCOMPANIED BY A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED ON FRIDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. SOME
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...MAINLY AFTER
THE CENTER MOVES NORTH OF CUBA AND OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES
...185 KM TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.
 
HEAVY RAINFALL...ACCOMPANIED BY BRIEF GUSTY WINDS...WILL CONTINUE
TO SPREAD ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA...AND INTO EXTREME
SOUTHERN FLORIDA...ESPECIALLY THE FLORIDA KEYS. TOTAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS
ACROSS MUCH OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP
TO 15 INCHES IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF CUBA. GENERAL 3 TO 5 INCH
AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FLORIDA KEYS OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
 
SOME COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ON THE SOUTHERN COAST OF WESTERN
CUBA.
 
REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...20.8 N... 84.3 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR  8 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM EDT.
 
FORECASTER STEWART

 

TROPICAL STORM ARLENE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   6A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 PM EDT THU JUN 09 2005

 
...POORLY ORGANIZED ARLENE AFFECTING WESTERN CUBA WITH HEAVY
RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE DRY TORTUGAS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN CUBA FROM
PINAR DEL RIO TO THE CITY OF HAVANA AND HAVANA PROVINCES...INCLUDING
THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN AND THE
SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 8 PM EDT...0000Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
ARLENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  84.2 WEST
OR ABOUT  110 MILES... 175 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE WESTERN TIP
OF CUBA.
 
ARLENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. ON THIS
TRACK...THE CENTER OF ARLENE SHOULD CROSS NEAR OR OVER WESTERN CUBA
TONIGHT OR EARLY FRIDAY. HOWEVER...HEAVY RAIN SQUALLS ARE ALREADY
MOVING ONSHORE WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE CENTER.  A GRADUAL INCREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED ACCOMPANIED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST
IS EXPECTED ON FRIDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. SOME
MODEST STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.
 
HEAVY RAINFALL...ACCOMPANIED BY BRIEF GUSTY WINDS...WILL GRADUALLY
SPREAD ACROSS THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA... AND INTO EXTREME
SOUTHERN FLORIDA...ESPECIALLY THE FLORIDA KEYS. TOTAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY NORTH AND EAST OF THE
TRACK OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 15
INCHES POSSIBLE IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF CUBA. GENERAL 3 TO 5 INCH
AMOUNTS WILL POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS.
 
SOME COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ON THE SOUTHERN COAST OF WESTERN
CUBA.
 
REPEATING THE 8 PM EDT POSITION...20.4 N... 84.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR  8 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 11 PM EDT.
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 

TROPICAL STORM ARLENE ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT THU JUN 09 2005


...MOST OF THE WEATHER ASSOCIATED WITH ARLENE ALREADY AFFECTING
CUBA...SQUALLS GRADUALLY SPREADING NORTHWARD...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE DRY TORTUGAS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN CUBA FROM
PINAR DEL RIO TO THE CITY OF HAVANA AND HAVANA PROVINCES...INCLUDING
THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS
DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN AND THE
SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
ARLENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  84.2 WEST
OR ABOUT  115 MILES... 180 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE WESTERN TIP
OF CUBA.
 
ARLENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. ON THIS
TRACK...THE CENTER OF ARLENE WILL CROSS NEAR OR OVER WESTERN CUBA
TONIGHT OR EARLY FRIDAY. HOWEVER...MOST OF THE WEATHER IS CURRENTLY
ARRIVING WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE CENTER.  A GRADUAL INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED
ON FRIDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR  40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. SOME
MODEST STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.

HEAVY RAINFALL...ACCOMPANIED BY SQUALLS...IS SPREADING ACROSS THE
CAYMAN ISLANDS...AS WELL AS CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA AND INTO
EXTREME SOUTHERN FLORIDA...ESPECIALLY THE KEYS. TOTAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY NORTH AND EAST OF THE
TRACK OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 15
INCHES POSSIBLE IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF CUBA. GENERAL 3 TO 5 INCH
AMOUNTS WILL POSSIBLE OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS. 

SOME COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ON THE SOUTHERN COAST OF WESTERN
CUBA.
 
REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...20.2 N... 84.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR  8 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 8 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM
EDT.
 
FORECASTER AVILA/KNABB
 

MEMA RELEASES TROPICAL STORM ARLENE INFORMATION 6-9-05

 

Jackson Mississippi Emergency Management Agency officials are urging Gulf Coast residents to prepare now for the possible landfall of Tropical Storm Arlene.

 

Predictions for Arlene have the storm making landfall around 7 p.m. Saturday somewhere on the Mississippi and/or Alabama coast. Portions of the Gulf Coast could begin to experience winds and rain from the storm around 2 p.m. Saturday.

 

Although Arlene is not at hurricane strength, the storm is predicted to cause heavy rainfall, which could cause flooding.

 

Residents should prepare now by developing a family disaster plan that includes an evacuation plan, a communication plan and a disaster supply kit.

 

 

 

TROPICAL STORM ARLENE ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT THU JUN 09 2005


...WEATHER SHOULD WORSEN OVER WESTERN CUBA TODAY AS ARLENE
APPROACHES...
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED
FOR THE DRY TORTUGAS.
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS
ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN CUBA FROM
PINAR DEL RIO TO CITY OF HAVANA AND HAVANA PROVINCES...INCLUDING THE
ISLE OF YOUTH.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN AND THE
SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
ARLENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  84.1 WEST
OR ABOUT  190 MILES... 305 KM...WEST OF GRAND CAYMAN AND ABOUT  165
MILES... 270 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA.
 
ARLENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 8 MPH ...13 KM/HR. THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...BRINGING THE CENTER NEAR
OR OVER WESTERN CUBA TONIGHT OR EARLY FRIDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AN
AIR FORCE PLANE WILL CHECK ARLENE THIS AFTERNOON.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES...240 KM
TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.

HEAVY RAINFALL...ACCOMPANIED BY SQUALLS...IS SPREADING ACROSS THE
CAYMAN ISLANDS...AS WELL AS CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA AND INTO THE
SOUTHERN FLORIDA KEYS.  TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES
ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS IN ASSOCIATION WITH ARLENE....MAINLY TO
THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.

REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...19.4 N... 84.1 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR  8 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM
EDT.
 
FORECASTER AVILA/KNABB

 

 
 8AM EDT THU JUN 09 2005-  the public advisory from the National Hurricane Center

"...SHIP REPORT INDICATES TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE HAS BECOME TROPICAL
STORM ARLENE...THE FIRST TROPICAL STORM OF THE 2005 SEASON...
 
AT 8 AM EDT...1200 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS EXTENDED THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING EASTWARD TO INCLUDE THE CITY OF HAVANA AND
HAVANA PROVINCE.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR
WESTERN CUBA FROM PINAR DEL RIO TO HAVANA PROVINCE...INCLUDING THE
ISLE OF YOUTH.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN AND THE
SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 8 AM EDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ARLENE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  84.0 WEST OR ABOUT
185 MILES... 295 KM...WEST OF GRAND CAYMAN AND ABOUT  190 MILES...
305 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA.
 
ARLENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR  8 MPH...13 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH AN ADDITIONAL INCREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  THIS MOTION COULD BRING
THE CENTER NEAR WESTERN CUBA TONIGHT.
 
A REPORT FROM A SHIP BETWEEN THE CENTER OF ARLENE AND THE CAYMAN
ISLANDS INDICATES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE HAVE INCREASED TO
NEAR  40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME ADDITIONAL SLOW
STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES
...240 KM MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.
 
HEAVY RAINFALL...ACCOMPANIED BY SQUALLS...IS SPREADING ACROSS THE
CAYMAN ISLANDS...AS WELL AS CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA.  TOTAL
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS IN
ASSOCIATION WITH ARLENE.
 
MOISTURE FLOWING FROM THE SOUTHWEST INTO ARLENE IS PRODUCING
VERY HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA...PARTICULARLY
NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING
FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
 
REPEATING THE 8 AM EDT POSITION...19.1 N... 84.0 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR  8 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 AM EDT.
 
FORECASTER BEVEN "
 


 

 

 

IS TD-1 GOING TO MAKE IT TO A STORM?

2am advisory June 9, 2005 from the National Hurricane Center-

   " POORLY-ORGANIZED DEPRESSION CONTINUES SLOW NORTHWARD MOTION OVER
THE NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN...
 

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF
PINAR DEL RIO AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH IN WESTERN CUBA.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 2 AM EDT...0600Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION ONE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE
83.9 WEST OR ABOUT 205 MILES... 335 KM... WEST-SOUTHWEST OF GRAND
CAYMAN AND ABOUT 285 MILES... 465 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE
WESTERN TIP OF CUBA.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR  6 MPH
... 9 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH
SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS...MAINLY IN RAIN BANDS TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND THE
DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY.  DURING THE
PAST FEW HOURS...NOAA BUOY 42056 REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 36 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED IS 1003 MB...29.62
INCHES.
 
HEAVY RAINFALL...ACCOMPANIED BY SQUALLS...IS SPREADING ACROSS THE
CAYMAN ISLANDS...AND SHOULD SPREAD OVER WESTERN CUBA LATER TODAY..
 
MOISTURE FLOWING FROM THE SOUTHWEST INTO THE DEPRESSION IS PRODUCING
VERY HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA...PARTICULARLY
NICARAGUA AND HONDURAS.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING
FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
 
REPEATING THE 2 AM EDT POSITION...17.8 N... 83.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM EDT.
 
FORECASTER BEVEN"
 

TODAY IS
 Thu Jul 24 11:52:am CDT 2008

 


 

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