2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook:

Tropical Atlantic Wide Infrared Satellite Image:

Courtesy of NOAA Satellite Services Division

5 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook:


Graphical Tropical Weather Discussion:

Latest Tropical Weather Outlook:


Jason Scott’s Tropical Weather Update on Invest 97-L

  TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT WED SEP 28 2016 For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. Reports from an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft indicate that the strong tropical wave located near Barbados is producing winds of 40 to 45 mph. Regardless of …

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New tropical storm likely to develop as 97L moves west towards eastern Caribbean

It is remarkable how well the GFS model in particular has “advertised” what we are seeing now and will see in the coming days. I first mentioned the possibility of something emerging from Africa back on September 21 and ever since then, the GFS has been locked on. Now, several days later, we have invest …

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Automatic Weather Station Data for Crab Hill St.Lucy Station.

Automatic Weather Station Data for Crab Hill St.Lucy Station.  

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Why Long-Range Model Forecasts for the Tropics Can’t Often Be Trusted: A Case Study

What is the Cone of Uncertainty Weather forecast model data is now widely available over the internet from both government agencies and the private sector. That doesn’t mean it’s a good idea to post a model forecast of a landfalling hurricane a week or more from now to your social media account. One current example …

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Karl headed out as we focus on next system

Karl passed within about 60 miles of Bermuda in the over night hours bringing tropical storm conditions to the area. The storm is now moving away and will do so with increasing forward speed throughout the weekend. Winds and seas will subside and by sunset this evening, it will be quite gorgeous in Bermuda. There …

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Tropical Cyclone Hazards

Each year beginning around June 1st, the Gulf and East Coast states are at great risk for tropical cyclones. While most people know that tropical cyclones can contain damaging wind, many do not realize that they also produce several other hazards, both directly and indirectly. Following is vital information you need to help minimize the …

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